The tightly bunched probabilities in the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year market reflect a wide-open race through late August, with no center back separating himself via standout metrics like clean sheets, aerial duel success, or progressive passing. Leading options such as Oleksandr Svatok, Rudy Camacho, Miguel Tapias, and Noah Eile post comparable numbers while anchoring competitive backlines for their clubs, supported by recent form, All-Star recognition, and team defensive stability. Midfield and forward support, home/away splits, and injury absences further level the field, preventing any single defender from building decisive momentum ahead of the season's final stretch. Trader consensus prices this parity directly into the implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 49.1%
Oleksandr Svatok 40.1%
Miguel Tapias 33.9%
Noah Eile 32.7%
$901,462 Vol.
$901,462 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Oleksandr Svatok
40%
Miguel Tapias
34%
Noah Eile
33%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Walker Zimmerman
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Robert Voloder
27%
Henry Kessler
26%
Jackson Ragen
26%
Donovan Pines
26%
Micael
25%
Andreas Maxsø
24%
Mauricio Pineda
24%
Birk Risa
23%
Joel Waterman
23%
Robin Jansson
22%
Thiago Martins
9%
Tristan Blackmon
25%
Dany Rosero
6%
Nkosi Tafari
25%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Christopher McVey
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Lucas Bartlett
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Daniel Munie
25%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Andrés Reyes
7%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Kevin Long
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
24%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Zac McGraw
23%
Miles Robinson
30%
Dave Romney
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Rudy Camacho
35%
Kamal Miller
29%
Jack Maher
26%
Aaron Long 49.1%
Oleksandr Svatok 40.1%
Miguel Tapias 33.9%
Noah Eile 32.7%
$901,462 Vol.
$901,462 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Oleksandr Svatok
40%
Miguel Tapias
34%
Noah Eile
33%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Walker Zimmerman
28%
Rodrigues
28%
Robert Voloder
27%
Henry Kessler
26%
Jackson Ragen
26%
Donovan Pines
26%
Micael
25%
Andreas Maxsø
24%
Mauricio Pineda
24%
Birk Risa
23%
Joel Waterman
23%
Robin Jansson
22%
Thiago Martins
9%
Tristan Blackmon
25%
Dany Rosero
6%
Nkosi Tafari
25%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Christopher McVey
4%
Jack Elliott
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Lucas Bartlett
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Daniel Munie
25%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Andrés Reyes
7%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Kevin Long
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
24%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Zac McGraw
23%
Miles Robinson
30%
Dave Romney
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Rudy Camacho
35%
Kamal Miller
29%
Jack Maher
26%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities in the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year market reflect a wide-open race through late August, with no center back separating himself via standout metrics like clean sheets, aerial duel success, or progressive passing. Leading options such as Oleksandr Svatok, Rudy Camacho, Miguel Tapias, and Noah Eile post comparable numbers while anchoring competitive backlines for their clubs, supported by recent form, All-Star recognition, and team defensive stability. Midfield and forward support, home/away splits, and injury absences further level the field, preventing any single defender from building decisive momentum ahead of the season's final stretch. Trader consensus prices this parity directly into the implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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