The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race through late August, where no center back has separated on core metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duels won, interceptions, and progressive passes from the back. Marcelo Silva, Nkosi Tafari, Walker Zimmerman, and others post comparable volume on organized back lines, while Nashville SC’s league-leading defensive record and similar units at clubs like Austin and Real Salt Lake highlight collective contributions over individual dominance. Recent form, roster stability, and head-to-head defensive matchups have kept implied probabilities clustered, as traders weigh consistent performers without a clear statistical leader emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 49.1%
Miguel Tapias 35.0%
Marcelo Silva 31.4%
Sigurd Rosted 31.1%
$901,462 Vol.
$901,462 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Miguel Tapias
35%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Mauricio Pineda
30%
Donovan Pines
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
27%
Jackson Ragen
27%
Birk Risa
26%
Robert Voloder
26%
Noah Eile
25%
Micael
24%
Joel Waterman
23%
Thiago Martins
11%
Dany Rosero
6%
Nkosi Tafari
25%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Jack Elliott
4%
Christopher McVey
4%
Miles Robinson
4%
Robin Jansson
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Lucas Bartlett
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Jack Maher
25%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Dave Romney
25%
Andrés Reyes
7%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Kevin Long
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
25%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Zac McGraw
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Rudy Camacho
36%
Oleksandr Svatok
42%
Kamal Miller
32%
Daniel Munie
26%
Aaron Long 49.1%
Miguel Tapias 35.0%
Marcelo Silva 31.4%
Sigurd Rosted 31.1%
$901,462 Vol.
$901,462 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Miguel Tapias
35%
Marcelo Silva
31%
Sigurd Rosted
31%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Mauricio Pineda
30%
Donovan Pines
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
27%
Jackson Ragen
27%
Birk Risa
26%
Robert Voloder
26%
Noah Eile
25%
Micael
24%
Joel Waterman
23%
Thiago Martins
11%
Dany Rosero
6%
Nkosi Tafari
25%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Jack Elliott
4%
Christopher McVey
4%
Miles Robinson
4%
Robin Jansson
4%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
Adilson Malanda
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Lucas Bartlett
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Brendan Hines-Ike
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Jack Maher
25%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Dave Romney
25%
Andrés Reyes
7%
Tomás Avilés
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Kevin Long
1%
David Brekalo
1%
Lalas Abubakar
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Matt Miazga
<1%
Justen Glad
25%
Tim Parker
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Zac McGraw
26%
Jakob Glesnes
26%
Rudy Camacho
36%
Oleksandr Svatok
42%
Kamal Miller
32%
Daniel Munie
26%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The tightly bunched probabilities for the 2026 MLS Defender of the Year reflect a wide-open race through late August, where no center back has separated on core metrics such as clean sheets, aerial duels won, interceptions, and progressive passes from the back. Marcelo Silva, Nkosi Tafari, Walker Zimmerman, and others post comparable volume on organized back lines, while Nashville SC’s league-leading defensive record and similar units at clubs like Austin and Real Salt Lake highlight collective contributions over individual dominance. Recent form, roster stability, and head-to-head defensive matchups have kept implied probabilities clustered, as traders weigh consistent performers without a clear statistical leader emerging.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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