Iowa State enters the 2026 season in a full rebuild under first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers following Matt Campbell’s departure to Penn State and a massive roster exodus of over 100 transfers. The Cyclones return minimal production and have assembled a largely new unit through the portal, highlighted by quarterback Jaylen Raynor from Arkansas State and supporting skill players, though the offensive line remains inexperienced. Defensive personnel and scheme continuity from Rogers’ prior stops offer relative stability. The schedule features winnable non-conference games against Southeast Missouri State and Bowling Green but includes a difficult Big 12 slate with road contests at Iowa, BYU, Arizona, Baylor, and UCF plus home matchups against Utah and Kansas State. Preseason projections center around a 4.5–5.5 win total amid questions about offensive cohesion and adaptation to the new system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.5+ Wins
91%
3.5+ Wins
80%
4.5+ Wins
75%
5.5+ Wins
37%
6.5+ Wins
24%
$531 Vol.
2.5+ Wins
91%
3.5+ Wins
80%
4.5+ Wins
75%
5.5+ Wins
37%
6.5+ Wins
24%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such. Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
If the 2026 NCAA Division 1 Football regular season is cancelled, postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many wins the listed team recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Iowa State enters the 2026 season in a full rebuild under first-year head coach Jimmy Rogers following Matt Campbell’s departure to Penn State and a massive roster exodus of over 100 transfers. The Cyclones return minimal production and have assembled a largely new unit through the portal, highlighted by quarterback Jaylen Raynor from Arkansas State and supporting skill players, though the offensive line remains inexperienced. Defensive personnel and scheme continuity from Rogers’ prior stops offer relative stability. The schedule features winnable non-conference games against Southeast Missouri State and Bowling Green but includes a difficult Big 12 slate with road contests at Iowa, BYU, Arizona, Baylor, and UCF plus home matchups against Utah and Kansas State. Preseason projections center around a 4.5–5.5 win total amid questions about offensive cohesion and adaptation to the new system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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