Preseason win total markets for the 2026 NCAA Football season reflect heavy emphasis on returning production, transfer portal additions, and strength of schedule across Power Four conferences. Notre Dame carries the highest line at 11.5, while Indiana, Oregon, Miami, and Texas Tech sit at 10.5, driven by roster continuity and favorable nonconference matchups. SEC and Big Ten programs like Georgia, Ohio State, and Texas anchor the next tier around 9.5, tempered by tougher nine-game conference slates and depth concerns at quarterback. Recent SP+ projections highlight efficiency edges for teams with high returning starters, while underdogs face scrutiny over coaching transitions and injury risks. The regular season opener on August 29 will quickly test these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTexas Tech 10.5+
64%
Georgia 9.5+
63%
Ole Miss 7.5+
62%
Oregon State 3.5+
62%
Boise State 7.5+
62%
West Virginia 5.5+
61%
Virginia Tech 6.5+
61%
Oklahoma 7.5+
60%
Rutgers 4.5+
59%
Colorado State 3.5+
59%
Utah State 4.5+
57%
Arkansas 3.5+
57%
BYU 8.5+
57%
Virginia 7.5+
57%
Clemson 7.5+
57%
Utah 8.5+
56%
Fresno State 6.5+
56%
Iowa State 4.5+
56%
SMU 8.5+
56%
UCF 5.5+
56%
Vanderbilt 5.5+
56%
Duke 5.5+
56%
Kansas 5.5+
56%
Kentucky 4.5+
56%
Iowa 7.5+
55%
Miami FL 10.5+
55%
Wake Forest 5.5+
55%
Pittsburgh 7.5+
54%
Alabama 8.5+
54%
Tennessee 7.5+
54%
Stanford 3.5+
53%
Arizona State 6.5+
52%
LSU 8.5+
51%
Missouri 6.5+
51%
Mississippi State 4.5+
51%
Syracuse 4.5+
50%
North Carolina 4.5+
50%
Auburn 6.5+
50%
Wisconsin 6.5+
49%
UCLA 6.5+
48%
Indiana 10.5+
48%
Texas A&M 8.5+
48%
South Carolina 6.5+
47%
Northwestern 5.5+
47%
Boston College 3.5+
47%
Arizona 7.5+
46%
Oklahoma State 6.5+
46%
Kansas State 8.5+
45%
Louisville 8.5+
45%
Nebraska 6.5+
45%
TCU 7.5+
45%
Oregon 10.5+
45%
USC 8.5+
45%
Georgia Tech 6.5+
45%
Penn State 9.5+
45%
NC State 7.5+
45%
Houston 8.5+
44%
Texas 9.5+
44%
Texas State 6.5+
44%
California 6.5+
44%
San Diego State 7.5+
43%
Purdue 3.5+
43%
Illinois 7.5+
43%
Maryland 5.5+
42%
Ohio State 10.5+
42%
Washington State 5.5+
42%
Cincinnati 5.5+
42%
Colorado 4.5+
42%
Minnesota 6.5+
41%
Florida 7.5+
41%
Michigan State 4.5+
40%
Baylor 6.5+
40%
Washington 8.5+
39%
Florida State 6.5+
38%
Michigan 8.5+
36%
Notre Dame 11.5+
36%
$6,116 Vol.
Texas Tech 10.5+
64%
Georgia 9.5+
63%
Ole Miss 7.5+
62%
Oregon State 3.5+
62%
Boise State 7.5+
62%
West Virginia 5.5+
61%
Virginia Tech 6.5+
61%
Oklahoma 7.5+
60%
Rutgers 4.5+
59%
Colorado State 3.5+
59%
Utah State 4.5+
57%
Arkansas 3.5+
57%
BYU 8.5+
57%
Virginia 7.5+
57%
Clemson 7.5+
57%
Utah 8.5+
56%
Fresno State 6.5+
56%
Iowa State 4.5+
56%
SMU 8.5+
56%
UCF 5.5+
56%
Vanderbilt 5.5+
56%
Duke 5.5+
56%
Kansas 5.5+
56%
Kentucky 4.5+
56%
Iowa 7.5+
55%
Miami FL 10.5+
55%
Wake Forest 5.5+
55%
Pittsburgh 7.5+
54%
Alabama 8.5+
54%
Tennessee 7.5+
54%
Stanford 3.5+
53%
Arizona State 6.5+
52%
LSU 8.5+
51%
Missouri 6.5+
51%
Mississippi State 4.5+
51%
Syracuse 4.5+
50%
North Carolina 4.5+
50%
Auburn 6.5+
50%
Wisconsin 6.5+
49%
UCLA 6.5+
48%
Indiana 10.5+
48%
Texas A&M 8.5+
48%
South Carolina 6.5+
47%
Northwestern 5.5+
47%
Boston College 3.5+
47%
Arizona 7.5+
46%
Oklahoma State 6.5+
46%
Kansas State 8.5+
45%
Louisville 8.5+
45%
Nebraska 6.5+
45%
TCU 7.5+
45%
Oregon 10.5+
45%
USC 8.5+
45%
Georgia Tech 6.5+
45%
Penn State 9.5+
45%
NC State 7.5+
45%
Houston 8.5+
44%
Texas 9.5+
44%
Texas State 6.5+
44%
California 6.5+
44%
San Diego State 7.5+
43%
Purdue 3.5+
43%
Illinois 7.5+
43%
Maryland 5.5+
42%
Ohio State 10.5+
42%
Washington State 5.5+
42%
Cincinnati 5.5+
42%
Colorado 4.5+
42%
Minnesota 6.5+
41%
Florida 7.5+
41%
Michigan State 4.5+
40%
Baylor 6.5+
40%
Washington 8.5+
39%
Florida State 6.5+
38%
Michigan 8.5+
36%
Notre Dame 11.5+
36%
Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only official regular-season games count. Conference championship games, bowl games, and College Football Playoff games do not count even if the NCAA recognizes them as such, Only played games resulting in a win will count toward this total.
If the listed team plays fewer games than scheduled due to cancellation, weather, forfeit, or any other reason, only actual wins recorded count toward the total; canceled or unplayed games do not count as wins.
The primary resolution source will be official NCAA and conference records (https://www.ncaa.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Preseason win total markets for the 2026 NCAA Football season reflect heavy emphasis on returning production, transfer portal additions, and strength of schedule across Power Four conferences. Notre Dame carries the highest line at 11.5, while Indiana, Oregon, Miami, and Texas Tech sit at 10.5, driven by roster continuity and favorable nonconference matchups. SEC and Big Ten programs like Georgia, Ohio State, and Texas anchor the next tier around 9.5, tempered by tougher nine-game conference slates and depth concerns at quarterback. Recent SP+ projections highlight efficiency edges for teams with high returning starters, while underdogs face scrutiny over coaching transitions and injury risks. The regular season opener on August 29 will quickly test these implied probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions