Netflix shares closed at $79.59 on August 21, 2026, after Q2 results showed 13% revenue growth to $12.56 billion and EPS of $0.80 that beat estimates by a penny, yet Q3 guidance missed consensus and triggered a sharp post-earnings decline. The stock has fallen roughly 40% from 2025 peaks near $127 amid moderating subscriber momentum, higher content costs, and competitive pressures, leaving forward multiples near 20x—well below prior premiums. Traders are monitoring broader tech sentiment, Treasury yields, and any ad-tier or engagement updates for the week ahead, with no major company-specific catalysts scheduled before Q3 results in October. Market-implied odds reflect caution over near-term growth normalization versus longer-term free-cash-flow stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of August 24 above___?
$20
99%
$30
90%
$40
99%
$50
99%
$60
94%
$70
94%
$80
41%
$90
7%
$100
6%
$110
11%
$120
11%
$130
11%
$140
1%
$125 Vol.
$20
99%
$30
90%
$40
99%
$50
99%
$60
94%
$70
94%
$80
41%
$90
7%
$100
6%
$110
11%
$120
11%
$130
11%
$140
1%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NFLX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Netflix shares closed at $79.59 on August 21, 2026, after Q2 results showed 13% revenue growth to $12.56 billion and EPS of $0.80 that beat estimates by a penny, yet Q3 guidance missed consensus and triggered a sharp post-earnings decline. The stock has fallen roughly 40% from 2025 peaks near $127 amid moderating subscriber momentum, higher content costs, and competitive pressures, leaving forward multiples near 20x—well below prior premiums. Traders are monitoring broader tech sentiment, Treasury yields, and any ad-tier or engagement updates for the week ahead, with no major company-specific catalysts scheduled before Q3 results in October. Market-implied odds reflect caution over near-term growth normalization versus longer-term free-cash-flow stability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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