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icon for NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy
Sports·Hockey

NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy

icon for NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy
Sports·Hockey

NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy

Gavin McKenna 28%

Ivar Stenberg 11%

Adam Novotný 5.3%

Viggo Björck 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,581 Vol.

Gavin McKenna 28%

Ivar Stenberg 11%

Adam Novotný 5.3%

Viggo Björck 1.6%

Polymarket

$32,581 Vol.

Gavin McKenna

$15,829 Vol.

28%

Ivar Stenberg

$5,573 Vol.

11%

Adam Novotný

$3,290 Vol.

5%

Viggo Björck

$1,582 Vol.

2%

Carson Carels

$1,397 Vol.

1%

Tommy Bleyl

$1,053 Vol.

1%

Chase Reid

$614 Vol.

1%

Alberts Smits

$524 Vol.

1%

Keaton Verhoeff

$202 Vol.

<1%

JP Hurlbert

$312 Vol.

<1%

Caleb Malhotra

$49 Vol.

<1%

Mathis Preston

$49 Vol.

<1%

William Hakansson

$49 Vol.

<1%

Daxon Rudolph

$5 Vol.

<1%

Ilya Morozov

$20 Vol.

<1%

Alexander Command

$461 Vol.

<1%

Tynan Lawrence

$311 Vol.

<1%

Markus Ruck

$20 Vol.

<1%

Malte Gustafsson

$140 Vol.

<1%

Wyatt Cullen

$140 Vol.

<1%

Oscar Hemming

$40 Vol.

<1%

Marcus Nordmark

$40 Vol.

<1%

Oliver Suvanto

$40 Vol.

<1%

Ethan Belchetz

$40 Vol.

<1%

Nikita Klepov

$160 Vol.

<1%

Ryan Lin

$140 Vol.

<1%

Liam Ruck

$140 Vol.

<1%

Xavier Villeneuve

$140 Vol.

<1%

Elton Hermansson

$40 Vol.

<1%

Maddox Dagenais

$180 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NHL Draft results and projected ice time explain the early Calder Trophy pricing, with Gavin McKenna leading at 27.5% implied probability as the No. 1 overall selection by Toronto. McKenna’s NCAA production at Penn State and expected top-six role alongside established talent give him the clearest path to rookie points and visibility. Ivar Stenberg sits at 11% after going second overall to San Jose, where he joins a young core featuring Macklin Celebrini and projects for immediate power-play and even-strength minutes. The broad field, including Porter Martone, Anton Frondell, and Cole Hutson, keeps the market competitive because multiple first-round picks across contending and rebuilding clubs could post comparable numbers if they secure regular shifts and avoid injury. Preseason roster decisions and training-camp performance will likely drive further shifts before the October puck drop.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,581
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 NHL Draft results and projected ice time explain the early Calder Trophy pricing, with Gavin McKenna leading at 27.5% implied probability as the No. 1 overall selection by Toronto. McKenna’s NCAA production at Penn State and expected top-six role alongside established talent give him the clearest path to rookie points and visibility. Ivar Stenberg sits at 11% after going second overall to San Jose, where he joins a young core featuring Macklin Celebrini and projects for immediate power-play and even-strength minutes. The broad field, including Porter Martone, Anton Frondell, and Cole Hutson, keeps the market competitive because multiple first-round picks across contending and rebuilding clubs could post comparable numbers if they secure regular shifts and avoid injury. Preseason roster decisions and training-camp performance will likely drive further shifts before the October puck drop.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$32,581
Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 1:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the Calder Memorial Trophy for the 2026-27 NHL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NHL season is cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gavin McKenna" at 28%, followed by "Ivar Stenberg" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy" has generated $32.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy" is "Gavin McKenna" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ivar Stenberg" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NHL: 2026-27 Calder Trophy" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.