NVIDIA shares closed near $218–219 on September 11, 2026, after recent volatility within a 52-week range of roughly $164–236, leaving the week-of-September-14 close market with evenly balanced 50% implied probabilities across narrow price buckets. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between exceptionally strong fundamentals—fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion and management’s rare 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028 versus consensus estimates near 44%—and near-term pressures including elevated memory costs compressing gross margins toward 71–72% later this year, ongoing supply constraints, and regulatory scrutiny over licensing arrangements. Broader AI infrastructure spending forecasts of $3–4 trillion by 2030 continue to support bullish analyst price targets above $300, yet the absence of immediate catalysts such as fresh earnings or FOMC decisions keeps positioning sensitive to macro risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any incremental competitive or China-related headlines that could shift the near-term trading range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated<$195 24%
$195-$200 24%
$200-$205 24%
$205-$210 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<$195
24%
$195-$200
24%
$200-$205
24%
$205-$210
24%
$210-$215
24%
$215-$220
24%
$220-$225
24%
$225-$230
24%
$230-$235
24%
$235-$240
24%
>$240
24%
<$195 24%
$195-$200 24%
$200-$205 24%
$205-$210 24%
NEW
NEW
Sep 18, 2026
<$195
$0 Vol.
24%
$195-$200
$0 Vol.
24%
$200-$205
$0 Vol.
24%
$205-$210
$0 Vol.
24%
$210-$215
$0 Vol.
24%
$215-$220
$0 Vol.
24%
$220-$225
$0 Vol.
24%
$225-$230
$0 Vol.
24%
$230-$235
$0 Vol.
24%
$235-$240
$0 Vol.
24%
>$240
$0 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed near $218–219 on September 11, 2026, after recent volatility within a 52-week range of roughly $164–236, leaving the week-of-September-14 close market with evenly balanced 50% implied probabilities across narrow price buckets. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between exceptionally strong fundamentals—fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion and management’s rare 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028 versus consensus estimates near 44%—and near-term pressures including elevated memory costs compressing gross margins toward 71–72% later this year, ongoing supply constraints, and regulatory scrutiny over licensing arrangements. Broader AI infrastructure spending forecasts of $3–4 trillion by 2030 continue to support bullish analyst price targets above $300, yet the absence of immediate catalysts such as fresh earnings or FOMC decisions keeps positioning sensitive to macro risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any incremental competitive or China-related headlines that could shift the near-term trading range.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed near $218–219 on September 11, 2026, after recent volatility within a 52-week range of roughly $164–236, leaving the week-of-September-14 close market with evenly balanced 50% implied probabilities across narrow price buckets. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between exceptionally strong fundamentals—fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion and management’s rare 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028 versus consensus estimates near 44%—and near-term pressures including elevated memory costs compressing gross margins toward 71–72% later this year, ongoing supply constraints, and regulatory scrutiny over licensing arrangements. Broader AI infrastructure spending forecasts of $3–4 trillion by 2030 continue to support bullish analyst price targets above $300, yet the absence of immediate catalysts such as fresh earnings or FOMC decisions keeps positioning sensitive to macro risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any incremental competitive or China-related headlines that could shift the near-term trading range.
This market will resolve according to the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final day of trading of the week specified in the title (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Sep 18, 2026Market Opened
Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA shares closed near $218–219 on September 11, 2026, after recent volatility within a 52-week range of roughly $164–236, leaving the week-of-September-14 close market with evenly balanced 50% implied probabilities across narrow price buckets. Trader sentiment reflects the tension between exceptionally strong fundamentals—fiscal Q2 revenue of $96.2 billion and management’s rare 70% growth outlook for fiscal 2028 versus consensus estimates near 44%—and near-term pressures including elevated memory costs compressing gross margins toward 71–72% later this year, ongoing supply constraints, and regulatory scrutiny over licensing arrangements. Broader AI infrastructure spending forecasts of $3–4 trillion by 2030 continue to support bullish analyst price targets above $300, yet the absence of immediate catalysts such as fresh earnings or FOMC decisions keeps positioning sensitive to macro risk appetite, Treasury yields, and any incremental competitive or China-related headlines that could shift the near-term trading range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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