MrBeast’s established pattern of Saturday long-form releases landing squarely in the 25–30 million first-day view range drives the market’s overwhelming consensus on that bracket. His 514-million-subscriber base, consistent thumbnail-driven click-through, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification of high-engagement challenge content create reliable front-loaded performance, as seen in recent uploads like “Escape 100 Cops” and earlier 2026 stunts that have settled into this narrower band rather than the higher spikes of past years. Traders price in the predictable cadence and audience habits while noting the upcoming August 24 view-count policy shift—counting plays from the first frame—could introduce modest variance. A realistic upset would require an unusually massive cross-platform stunt or unexpected timing that pushes totals outside the historical window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?
25–30M 100.0%
<15M <1%
15–20M <1%
20–25M <1%
$114,113 Vol.
$114,113 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<15M
<1%
15–20M
<1%
20–25M
<1%
25–30M
100%
30–35M
<1%
35–40M
<1%
40M+
<1%
25–30M 100.0%
<15M <1%
15–20M <1%
20–25M <1%
$114,113 Vol.
$114,113 Vol.
Aug 23, 2026
<15M
$6,156 Vol.
<1%
15–20M
$18,472 Vol.
<1%
20–25M
$37,547 Vol.
<1%
25–30M
$17,532 Vol.
100%
30–35M
$12,328 Vol.
<1%
35–40M
$6,372 Vol.
<1%
40M+
$15,706 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s established pattern of Saturday long-form releases landing squarely in the 25–30 million first-day view range drives the market’s overwhelming consensus on that bracket. His 514-million-subscriber base, consistent thumbnail-driven click-through, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification of high-engagement challenge content create reliable front-loaded performance, as seen in recent uploads like “Escape 100 Cops” and earlier 2026 stunts that have settled into this narrower band rather than the higher spikes of past years. Traders price in the predictable cadence and audience habits while noting the upcoming August 24 view-count policy shift—counting plays from the first frame—could introduce modest variance. A realistic upset would require an unusually massive cross-platform stunt or unexpected timing that pushes totals outside the historical window.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 19, 2026, 2:12 PM ET
Volume
$114,113End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.MrBeast’s established pattern of Saturday long-form releases landing squarely in the 25–30 million first-day view range drives the market’s overwhelming consensus on that bracket. His 514-million-subscriber base, consistent thumbnail-driven click-through, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification of high-engagement challenge content create reliable front-loaded performance, as seen in recent uploads like “Escape 100 Cops” and earlier 2026 stunts that have settled into this narrower band rather than the higher spikes of past years. Traders price in the predictable cadence and audience habits while noting the upcoming August 24 view-count policy shift—counting plays from the first frame—could introduce modest variance. A realistic upset would require an unusually massive cross-platform stunt or unexpected timing that pushes totals outside the historical window.
This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Volume
$114,113End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 19, 2026, 2:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...MrBeast’s established pattern of Saturday long-form releases landing squarely in the 25–30 million first-day view range drives the market’s overwhelming consensus on that bracket. His 514-million-subscriber base, consistent thumbnail-driven click-through, and YouTube’s algorithmic amplification of high-engagement challenge content create reliable front-loaded performance, as seen in recent uploads like “Escape 100 Cops” and earlier 2026 stunts that have settled into this narrower band rather than the higher spikes of past years. Traders price in the predictable cadence and audience habits while noting the upcoming August 24 view-count policy shift—counting plays from the first frame—could introduce modest variance. A realistic upset would require an unusually massive cross-platform stunt or unexpected timing that pushes totals outside the historical window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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