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icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

icon for Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?

$56,891 Vol.

Oct 31, 2026
Polymarket

$56,891 Vol.

Polymarket

October 31, 2026

$71 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz, who took office in November 2025 after defeating a former interim president in a runoff that ended two decades of MAS dominance, faces ongoing pressure from economic contraction, fuel shortages, and currency strains that triggered weeks of protests and road blockades in May–June 2026. Those demonstrations, backed by unions and Evo Morales supporters, prompted a state of emergency, ministerial resignations, and an eventual deal with the Bolivian Workers’ Center that cleared blockades by late June. More recently, Paz dismissed his economy minister following legislative censure amid fresh unrest. His vice president has publicly broken with the administration, his governing coalition shows fractures, and analysts note risks of further destabilization from opposition demands for early elections or resignation, though constitutional removal short of a later recall remains difficult. Legislative debates over market-oriented reforms and any IMF-related measures could test his position in coming months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,891
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Rodrigo Paz, who took office in November 2025 after defeating a former interim president in a runoff that ended two decades of MAS dominance, faces ongoing pressure from economic contraction, fuel shortages, and currency strains that triggered weeks of protests and road blockades in May–June 2026. Those demonstrations, backed by unions and Evo Morales supporters, prompted a state of emergency, ministerial resignations, and an eventual deal with the Bolivian Workers’ Center that cleared blockades by late June. More recently, Paz dismissed his economy minister following legislative censure amid fresh unrest. His vice president has publicly broken with the administration, his governing coalition shows fractures, and analysts note risks of further destabilization from opposition demands for early elections or resignation, though constitutional removal short of a later recall remains difficult. Legislative debates over market-oriented reforms and any IMF-related measures could test his position in coming months.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$56,891
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Rodrigo Paz ceases to be President of Bolivia for any period of time between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of Rodrigo Paz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market's timeframe, it will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Rodrigo Paz and the government of Bolivia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "October 31, 2026" at 27%, followed by "July 31, 2026" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" has generated $56.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" is "October 31, 2026" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "July 31, 2026" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.