Javier Milei remains firmly in office as Argentina’s president through his constitutional term ending December 2027, with traders assigning just a 4.6% chance of an early exit. His La Libertad Avanza bloc strengthened its congressional position after the 2025 midterms, enabling continued legislative progress on labor, tax, and deregulation reforms despite persistent low approval ratings around 35-40% and rising unemployment. Fragmented opposition parties, particularly a divided Peronism, have shown limited capacity to mount effective challenges or build the supermajorities needed for impeachment. Milei has publicly confirmed plans to seek re-election in 2027 under Article 90, which permits one consecutive term, while adapting coalition-building tactics with governors. Realistic shifts could stem from a major corruption scandal eroding legislative support, a sharp economic reversal, or health-related incapacity, though no such developments currently appear imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
$165,442 Vol.
$165,442 Vol.
$165,442 Vol.
$165,442 Vol.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Javier Milei remains firmly in office as Argentina’s president through his constitutional term ending December 2027, with traders assigning just a 4.6% chance of an early exit. His La Libertad Avanza bloc strengthened its congressional position after the 2025 midterms, enabling continued legislative progress on labor, tax, and deregulation reforms despite persistent low approval ratings around 35-40% and rising unemployment. Fragmented opposition parties, particularly a divided Peronism, have shown limited capacity to mount effective challenges or build the supermajorities needed for impeachment. Milei has publicly confirmed plans to seek re-election in 2027 under Article 90, which permits one consecutive term, while adapting coalition-building tactics with governors. Realistic shifts could stem from a major corruption scandal eroding legislative support, a sharp economic reversal, or health-related incapacity, though no such developments currently appear imminent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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