Recent monthly inflation prints near 2.1% in July, with the year-over-year rate at 33.8%, sustain trader focus on disinflation momentum under ongoing fiscal tightening and exchange-rate policy. Analyst medians cluster around 29.8% for full-year 2026, placing the two leading buckets in near parity and reflecting uncertainty over whether inertia or further monthly moderation will prevail. Key swing factors include upcoming INDEC releases, reserve accumulation, and any shifts in monetary guidance that could alter the implied path versus historical base rates. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30.0-34.9% 52.4%
25-29.9% 45%
20-24.9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.9%
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
52%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 52.4%
25-29.9% 45%
20-24.9% 2.1%
45%+ 1.9%
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Vol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Vol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,514 Vol.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$11,794 Vol.
52%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Vol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,553 Vol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Vol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 2.1% in July, with the year-over-year rate at 33.8%, sustain trader focus on disinflation momentum under ongoing fiscal tightening and exchange-rate policy. Analyst medians cluster around 29.8% for full-year 2026, placing the two leading buckets in near parity and reflecting uncertainty over whether inertia or further monthly moderation will prevail. Key swing factors include upcoming INDEC releases, reserve accumulation, and any shifts in monetary guidance that could alter the implied path versus historical base rates. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$42,533End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent monthly inflation prints near 2.1% in July, with the year-over-year rate at 33.8%, sustain trader focus on disinflation momentum under ongoing fiscal tightening and exchange-rate policy. Analyst medians cluster around 29.8% for full-year 2026, placing the two leading buckets in near parity and reflecting uncertainty over whether inertia or further monthly moderation will prevail. Key swing factors include upcoming INDEC releases, reserve accumulation, and any shifts in monetary guidance that could alter the implied path versus historical base rates. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$42,533End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent monthly inflation prints near 2.1% in July, with the year-over-year rate at 33.8%, sustain trader focus on disinflation momentum under ongoing fiscal tightening and exchange-rate policy. Analyst medians cluster around 29.8% for full-year 2026, placing the two leading buckets in near parity and reflecting uncertainty over whether inertia or further monthly moderation will prevail. Key swing factors include upcoming INDEC releases, reserve accumulation, and any shifts in monetary guidance that could alter the implied path versus historical base rates. Market-implied odds aggregate real-capital bets on these variables without guaranteeing outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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