Recent Mexico inflation data show headline CPI easing sharply to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, the lowest reading since late 2020 and well inside Banxico’s 2–4% target band. Core inflation has also moderated toward 3.95%, supported by subdued food, energy, and services prices amid peso stability and expanded government subsidies. Traders price the 2026 annual outcome most heavily in the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% buckets because the first-half average was higher while the second-half trajectory points lower; Banxico’s latest projections anticipate convergence to target only by late 2027 at a gradual pace. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, Banxico policy decisions, and any renewed pressures from global commodity prices or domestic demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated3.50% to 3.99% 33.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.4%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$64,545 Vol.
$64,545 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
6%
3.00% to 3.49%
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
4%
5.50%+
3%
3.50% to 3.99% 33.5%
4.00% to 4.49% 29%
3.00% to 3.49% 22.4%
4.50% to 4.99% 8%
$64,545 Vol.
$64,545 Vol.
Jan 7, 2027
<2.50%
$1,111 Vol.
2%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,895 Vol.
6%
3.00% to 3.49%
$28,614 Vol.
22%
3.50% to 3.99%
$4,085 Vol.
34%
4.00% to 4.49%
$12,320 Vol.
29%
4.50% to 4.99%
$4,755 Vol.
8%
5.00% to 5.49%
$2,454 Vol.
4%
5.50%+
$6,313 Vol.
3%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data show headline CPI easing sharply to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, the lowest reading since late 2020 and well inside Banxico’s 2–4% target band. Core inflation has also moderated toward 3.95%, supported by subdued food, energy, and services prices amid peso stability and expanded government subsidies. Traders price the 2026 annual outcome most heavily in the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% buckets because the first-half average was higher while the second-half trajectory points lower; Banxico’s latest projections anticipate convergence to target only by late 2027 at a gradual pace. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, Banxico policy decisions, and any renewed pressures from global commodity prices or domestic demand.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Market Opened: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Volume
$64,545End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioRecent Mexico inflation data show headline CPI easing sharply to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, the lowest reading since late 2020 and well inside Banxico’s 2–4% target band. Core inflation has also moderated toward 3.95%, supported by subdued food, energy, and services prices amid peso stability and expanded government subsidies. Traders price the 2026 annual outcome most heavily in the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% buckets because the first-half average was higher while the second-half trajectory points lower; Banxico’s latest projections anticipate convergence to target only by late 2027 at a gradual pace. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, Banxico policy decisions, and any renewed pressures from global commodity prices or domestic demand.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Volume
$64,545End Date
Jan 8, 2027Market Opened
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent Mexico inflation data show headline CPI easing sharply to 3.12% year-over-year in July 2026 from 3.37% in June and 3.94% in May, the lowest reading since late 2020 and well inside Banxico’s 2–4% target band. Core inflation has also moderated toward 3.95%, supported by subdued food, energy, and services prices amid peso stability and expanded government subsidies. Traders price the 2026 annual outcome most heavily in the 3.50–3.99% and 4.00–4.49% buckets because the first-half average was higher while the second-half trajectory points lower; Banxico’s latest projections anticipate convergence to target only by late 2027 at a gradual pace. Key swing factors include upcoming monthly CPI prints, Banxico policy decisions, and any renewed pressures from global commodity prices or domestic demand.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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