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2nd Largest Company end of September?

icon for 2nd Largest Company end of September?

2nd Largest Company end of September?

Apple 76%

Alphabet 21%

NVIDIA 5%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$40,716 Vol.

Apple 76%

Alphabet 21%

NVIDIA 5%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$40,716 Vol.

icon for Apple

Apple

$9,972 Vol.

76%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$7,258 Vol.

21%

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$7,361 Vol.

5%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$6,566 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$3,704 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$3,266 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$827 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$1,081 Vol.

<1%

icon for SpaceX

SpaceX

$681 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple currently holds the second-largest market capitalization behind NVIDIA at roughly $4.5 trillion, positioning it as the clear trader favorite at 76% implied probability to finish September in that spot. Sustained demand for its services ecosystem and hardware ecosystem has provided relative stability compared with more volatile AI-exposed peers, while Alphabet trails at 21% amid ongoing cloud and search competition. Other names such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Broadcom sit far lower because their valuations remain well behind the top tier with limited near-term catalysts likely to reorder the ranking before quarter-end. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus that Apple’s positioning is unlikely to shift materially over the next six weeks absent major regulatory or product surprises.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$40,716
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple currently holds the second-largest market capitalization behind NVIDIA at roughly $4.5 trillion, positioning it as the clear trader favorite at 76% implied probability to finish September in that spot. Sustained demand for its services ecosystem and hardware ecosystem has provided relative stability compared with more volatile AI-exposed peers, while Alphabet trails at 21% amid ongoing cloud and search competition. Other names such as Microsoft, Amazon, and Broadcom sit far lower because their valuations remain well behind the top tier with limited near-term catalysts likely to reorder the ranking before quarter-end. Market-implied odds reflect real-capital consensus that Apple’s positioning is unlikely to shift materially over the next six weeks absent major regulatory or product surprises.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$40,716
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:38 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd Largest Company end of September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 76%, followed by "Alphabet" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 76¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd Largest Company end of September?" has generated $40.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd Largest Company end of September?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd Largest Company end of September?" is "Apple" at 76%, meaning the market assigns a 76% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd Largest Company end of September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.