Recent advances on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark—now expanded to roughly 50 research-level challenges—have driven strong trader consensus that at least one more problem will be officially marked solved by late 2026. Three problems have already been resolved since early 2026, most recently the Hadamard matrix of order 668 credited to Anthropic’s Claude in August, following earlier solutions elicited with GPT-5.4 Pro and Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants lead Tier 4 leaderboards above 80 percent while Anthropic and Google models show competitive gains through improved tool use, chain-of-thought, and human-AI collaboration. Ongoing model releases, researcher elicitation experiments, and Epoch’s verification process create multiple near-term catalysts that sustain elevated implied probabilities for additional breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
41%
September 30
89%
$621 Vol.
August 31
$140 Vol.
41%
September 30
$481 Vol.
89%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent advances on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark—now expanded to roughly 50 research-level challenges—have driven strong trader consensus that at least one more problem will be officially marked solved by late 2026. Three problems have already been resolved since early 2026, most recently the Hadamard matrix of order 668 credited to Anthropic’s Claude in August, following earlier solutions elicited with GPT-5.4 Pro and Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants lead Tier 4 leaderboards above 80 percent while Anthropic and Google models show competitive gains through improved tool use, chain-of-thought, and human-AI collaboration. Ongoing model releases, researcher elicitation experiments, and Epoch’s verification process create multiple near-term catalysts that sustain elevated implied probabilities for additional breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 7:37 PM ET
Volume
$621End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.Recent advances on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark—now expanded to roughly 50 research-level challenges—have driven strong trader consensus that at least one more problem will be officially marked solved by late 2026. Three problems have already been resolved since early 2026, most recently the Hadamard matrix of order 668 credited to Anthropic’s Claude in August, following earlier solutions elicited with GPT-5.4 Pro and Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants lead Tier 4 leaderboards above 80 percent while Anthropic and Google models show competitive gains through improved tool use, chain-of-thought, and human-AI collaboration. Ongoing model releases, researcher elicitation experiments, and Epoch’s verification process create multiple near-term catalysts that sustain elevated implied probabilities for additional breakthroughs.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Epoch AI marks at least one additional FrontierMath: Open Problems problem as “Solved,” or otherwise officially states that such a problem has been solved, between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Any problems that Epoch AI already classified as solved before market issuance will not qualify for resolution. Only problems newly classified by Epoch AI as solved after market issuance may qualify. If Epoch AI adds new problems to FrontierMath: Open Problems after market creation, those problems will be considered for resolution.
This market will resolve solely based on Epoch AI’s classification or official determination that a qualifying problem has been solved, regardless of the degree of artificial intelligence involvement. A verifier-accepted submission, publicly posted solution, partial result, or third-party claim will not qualify on its own unless Epoch AI recognizes the problem as solved.
The primary resolution source will be official information from Epoch AI, including https://epoch.ai/frontiermath/open-problems.
Volume
$621End Date
Oct 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 7:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent advances on Epoch AI’s FrontierMath: Open Problems benchmark—now expanded to roughly 50 research-level challenges—have driven strong trader consensus that at least one more problem will be officially marked solved by late 2026. Three problems have already been resolved since early 2026, most recently the Hadamard matrix of order 668 credited to Anthropic’s Claude in August, following earlier solutions elicited with GPT-5.4 Pro and Fable 5. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 variants lead Tier 4 leaderboards above 80 percent while Anthropic and Google models show competitive gains through improved tool use, chain-of-thought, and human-AI collaboration. Ongoing model releases, researcher elicitation experiments, and Epoch’s verification process create multiple near-term catalysts that sustain elevated implied probabilities for additional breakthroughs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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