**Recent developments show the Trump administration escalating economic pressure on Iran through Treasury actions, OFAC designations, and public threats of secondary sanctions rather than a new presidential executive order.** Following the expiration of the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad MOU and the lapse of temporary General License X around August 21, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have announced an intensified “maximum pressure” or “Economic D-Day” campaign. This includes warnings of unprecedented sanctions on Iran’s financial networks, oil smuggling, and any third countries providing support. These steps build on existing authorities, including prior executive orders and ongoing naval blockade measures, without a specific new Iran-focused EO being scheduled or signaled for issuance in the final days before August 28. Trader consensus at 81% “No” reflects the pattern of sanctions implementation via agency-level actions and existing legal frameworks rather than a fresh broad executive order in the immediate term. No confirmed timeline or preparatory statements point to an EO signing by the deadline, despite the broader sanctions push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated26% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments show the Trump administration escalating economic pressure on Iran through Treasury actions, OFAC designations, and public threats of secondary sanctions rather than a new presidential executive order.**
Following the expiration of the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad MOU and the lapse of temporary General License X around August 21, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have announced an intensified “maximum pressure” or “Economic D-Day” campaign. This includes warnings of unprecedented sanctions on Iran’s financial networks, oil smuggling, and any third countries providing support. These steps build on existing authorities, including prior executive orders and ongoing naval blockade measures, without a specific new Iran-focused EO being scheduled or signaled for issuance in the final days before August 28.
Trader consensus at 81% “No” reflects the pattern of sanctions implementation via agency-level actions and existing legal frameworks rather than a fresh broad executive order in the immediate term. No confirmed timeline or preparatory statements point to an EO signing by the deadline, despite the broader sanctions push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volume
$1,384End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Recent developments show the Trump administration escalating economic pressure on Iran through Treasury actions, OFAC designations, and public threats of secondary sanctions rather than a new presidential executive order.**
Following the expiration of the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad MOU and the lapse of temporary General License X around August 21, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have announced an intensified “maximum pressure” or “Economic D-Day” campaign. This includes warnings of unprecedented sanctions on Iran’s financial networks, oil smuggling, and any third countries providing support. These steps build on existing authorities, including prior executive orders and ongoing naval blockade measures, without a specific new Iran-focused EO being scheduled or signaled for issuance in the final days before August 28.
Trader consensus at 81% “No” reflects the pattern of sanctions implementation via agency-level actions and existing legal frameworks rather than a fresh broad executive order in the immediate term. No confirmed timeline or preparatory statements point to an EO signing by the deadline, despite the broader sanctions push.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs or issues an executive order, proclamation, or memorandum authorizing or ordering new sanctions on Iran by August 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sanctions are official government measures that restrict economic activity, financial transactions, trade, travel, or diplomatic engagement with Iran. Qualifying sanctions include comprehensive economic embargoes restricting most trade and financial transactions; sectoral sanctions targeting specific industries (e.g., energy, finance, defense, or technology); asset freezes and blocking of property owned by Iran or Iranian citizens; trade restrictions including export controls, import bans, or tariffs imposed explicitly as sanctions; financial sanctions including restrictions on banking relationships, access to financial systems, or international lending; travel bans and visa restrictions; and arms embargoes.
Secondary sanctions against third-party countries or entities designated for dealings with Iran will qualify. The expansion in scope of previously existing sanctions against Iran will qualify; however, the renewal of existing sanctions without modification will not qualify.
The following will not qualify: the non-renewal or expiration of licenses or other sanction-exemptions; the designation of new specific entities to be sanctioned under an existing rule absent new sanctions; and enforcement settlements or civil penalties for past conduct.
The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Iran within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the sanctions come into effect.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,648End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent developments show the Trump administration escalating economic pressure on Iran through Treasury actions, OFAC designations, and public threats of secondary sanctions rather than a new presidential executive order.** Following the expiration of the 60-day negotiation window under the June 2026 Islamabad MOU and the lapse of temporary General License X around August 21, President Trump and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent have announced an intensified “maximum pressure” or “Economic D-Day” campaign. This includes warnings of unprecedented sanctions on Iran’s financial networks, oil smuggling, and any third countries providing support. These steps build on existing authorities, including prior executive orders and ongoing naval blockade measures, without a specific new Iran-focused EO being scheduled or signaled for issuance in the final days before August 28. Trader consensus at 81% “No” reflects the pattern of sanctions implementation via agency-level actions and existing legal frameworks rather than a fresh broad executive order in the immediate term. No confirmed timeline or preparatory statements point to an EO signing by the deadline, despite the broader sanctions push.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions