**Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 200+ Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during the August 21–28, 2026 window, followed by the 180–199 band, reflecting sustained high-volume activity patterns observed throughout his 2026 presidency.** Trump has averaged 19–22 posts per day this year across originals, quotes, and reposts, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity showed elevated output linked to tariff statements and economic measures, consistent with historical correlations between active foreign-policy engagement and higher weekly totals. The current period overlaps with routine White House communications and ongoing international economic issues, supporting the crowd-priced expectation of totals well above the lower bands seen in quieter intervals. Resolution counts only main-feed items, quotes, and reposts captured by trackers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 55%
180-199 30%
160-179 9.8%
140-159 2.7%
$15,870 Vol.
$15,870 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160-179
10%
180-199
30%
200+
55%
200+ 55%
180-199 30%
160-179 9.8%
140-159 2.7%
$15,870 Vol.
$15,870 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<20
$550 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$525 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$664 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$384 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$951 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,207 Vol.
1%
120-139
$1,840 Vol.
1%
140-159
$1,623 Vol.
3%
160-179
$2,395 Vol.
10%
180-199
$2,781 Vol.
30%
200+
$2,950 Vol.
55%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 200+ Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during the August 21–28, 2026 window, followed by the 180–199 band, reflecting sustained high-volume activity patterns observed throughout his 2026 presidency.**
Trump has averaged 19–22 posts per day this year across originals, quotes, and reposts, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity showed elevated output linked to tariff statements and economic measures, consistent with historical correlations between active foreign-policy engagement and higher weekly totals. The current period overlaps with routine White House communications and ongoing international economic issues, supporting the crowd-priced expectation of totals well above the lower bands seen in quieter intervals. Resolution counts only main-feed items, quotes, and reposts captured by trackers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$15,870End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 200+ Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during the August 21–28, 2026 window, followed by the 180–199 band, reflecting sustained high-volume activity patterns observed throughout his 2026 presidency.**
Trump has averaged 19–22 posts per day this year across originals, quotes, and reposts, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity showed elevated output linked to tariff statements and economic measures, consistent with historical correlations between active foreign-policy engagement and higher weekly totals. The current period overlaps with routine White House communications and ongoing international economic issues, supporting the crowd-priced expectation of totals well above the lower bands seen in quieter intervals. Resolution counts only main-feed items, quotes, and reposts captured by trackers.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$15,870End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus assigns the highest probability to 200+ Truth Social posts by Donald Trump during the August 21–28, 2026 window, followed by the 180–199 band, reflecting sustained high-volume activity patterns observed throughout his 2026 presidency.** Trump has averaged 19–22 posts per day this year across originals, quotes, and reposts, with frequent late-night clusters and multi-post bursts tied to policy announcements, foreign developments, and political messaging. Recent mid-August activity showed elevated output linked to tariff statements and economic measures, consistent with historical correlations between active foreign-policy engagement and higher weekly totals. The current period overlaps with routine White House communications and ongoing international economic issues, supporting the crowd-priced expectation of totals well above the lower bands seen in quieter intervals. Resolution counts only main-feed items, quotes, and reposts captured by trackers.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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