Diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Putin have continued through phone calls and envoys this year, yet stalled Ukraine negotiations and the absence of any announced 2026 summit have kept “no meeting by December 31” narrowly ahead at 51 percent. A planned follow-up to the 2025 Alaska summit collapsed amid disagreements over territory and security guarantees, with the White House stating on August 21 there are no immediate plans for an in-person encounter. China’s 45.5 percent share reflects trader views that a neutral multilateral venue could still emerge if broader geopolitical talks advance, while traditional sites such as Russia, the United States, or European capitals remain below 1 percent due to political and logistical barriers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shift in battlefield conditions could quickly alter these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 51%
China 42%
Russia 2.1%
Gulf country <1%
$623,554 Vol.
$623,554 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
51%
China
42%
Russia
2%
Gulf country
1%
United States
1%
Other
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Finland
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 51%
China 42%
Russia 2.1%
Gulf country <1%
$623,554 Vol.
$623,554 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$131,476 Vol.
51%
China
$76,597 Vol.
42%
Russia
$73,550 Vol.
2%
Gulf country
$21,790 Vol.
1%
United States
$37,670 Vol.
1%
Other
$23,405 Vol.
<1%
Switzerland
$25,330 Vol.
<1%
Turkey
$30,109 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$28,514 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$25,928 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$21,282 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$21,402 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$29,617 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$35,619 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Putin have continued through phone calls and envoys this year, yet stalled Ukraine negotiations and the absence of any announced 2026 summit have kept “no meeting by December 31” narrowly ahead at 51 percent. A planned follow-up to the 2025 Alaska summit collapsed amid disagreements over territory and security guarantees, with the White House stating on August 21 there are no immediate plans for an in-person encounter. China’s 45.5 percent share reflects trader views that a neutral multilateral venue could still emerge if broader geopolitical talks advance, while traditional sites such as Russia, the United States, or European capitals remain below 1 percent due to political and logistical barriers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shift in battlefield conditions could quickly alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$623,554End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Putin have continued through phone calls and envoys this year, yet stalled Ukraine negotiations and the absence of any announced 2026 summit have kept “no meeting by December 31” narrowly ahead at 51 percent. A planned follow-up to the 2025 Alaska summit collapsed amid disagreements over territory and security guarantees, with the White House stating on August 21 there are no immediate plans for an in-person encounter. China’s 45.5 percent share reflects trader views that a neutral multilateral venue could still emerge if broader geopolitical talks advance, while traditional sites such as Russia, the United States, or European capitals remain below 1 percent due to political and logistical barriers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shift in battlefield conditions could quickly alter these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$623,554End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Diplomatic contacts between the Trump administration and Putin have continued through phone calls and envoys this year, yet stalled Ukraine negotiations and the absence of any announced 2026 summit have kept “no meeting by December 31” narrowly ahead at 51 percent. A planned follow-up to the 2025 Alaska summit collapsed amid disagreements over territory and security guarantees, with the White House stating on August 21 there are no immediate plans for an in-person encounter. China’s 45.5 percent share reflects trader views that a neutral multilateral venue could still emerge if broader geopolitical talks advance, while traditional sites such as Russia, the United States, or European capitals remain below 1 percent due to political and logistical barriers. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any shift in battlefield conditions could quickly alter these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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