Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, reflecting a steady decline since early 2025 driven by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices near $4 per gallon, and persistent voter concerns over inflation and the economy. These factors have weighed on ratings for foreign policy handling and cost-of-living issues, with recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Gallup, and others showing term lows near 33-36%. The Polymarket's tight clustering around the 37.5-38.9 buckets mirrors this stable but low trajectory, as traders weigh limited time before August 28 for any abrupt shift from scheduled events or new data releases. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings rarely move sharply in the final days without major breaking developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 35%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 28%
37.0–37.4 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
4%
37.0–37.4
7%
37.5–37.9
29%
38.0–38.4
35%
38.5–38.9
28%
39.0+
4%
38.0–38.4 35%
37.5–37.9 29%
38.5–38.9 28%
37.0–37.4 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
<37.0
$40 Vol.
4%
37.0–37.4
$40 Vol.
7%
37.5–37.9
$285 Vol.
29%
38.0–38.4
$585 Vol.
35%
38.5–38.9
$810 Vol.
28%
39.0+
$118 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, reflecting a steady decline since early 2025 driven by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices near $4 per gallon, and persistent voter concerns over inflation and the economy. These factors have weighed on ratings for foreign policy handling and cost-of-living issues, with recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Gallup, and others showing term lows near 33-36%. The Polymarket's tight clustering around the 37.5-38.9 buckets mirrors this stable but low trajectory, as traders weigh limited time before August 28 for any abrupt shift from scheduled events or new data releases. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings rarely move sharply in the final days without major breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,879End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, reflecting a steady decline since early 2025 driven by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices near $4 per gallon, and persistent voter concerns over inflation and the economy. These factors have weighed on ratings for foreign policy handling and cost-of-living issues, with recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Gallup, and others showing term lows near 33-36%. The Polymarket's tight clustering around the 37.5-38.9 buckets mirrors this stable but low trajectory, as traders weigh limited time before August 28 for any abrupt shift from scheduled events or new data releases. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings rarely move sharply in the final days without major breaking developments.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 28, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,879End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of late August 2026, reflecting a steady decline since early 2025 driven by the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, elevated gasoline prices near $4 per gallon, and persistent voter concerns over inflation and the economy. These factors have weighed on ratings for foreign policy handling and cost-of-living issues, with recent surveys from Reuters/Ipsos, Gallup, and others showing term lows near 33-36%. The Polymarket's tight clustering around the 37.5-38.9 buckets mirrors this stable but low trajectory, as traders weigh limited time before August 28 for any abrupt shift from scheduled events or new data releases. Historical patterns indicate approval ratings rarely move sharply in the final days without major breaking developments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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