US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz navigation. High-level talks in Switzerland that month produced working groups and deconfliction mechanisms but yielded no breakthrough, with tensions over Lebanon and Hormuz persisting. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently described the MOU framework as the best available path forward, while Pakistan continues shuttle diplomacy, including an army chief visit to Tehran in late August to revive technical discussions. US statements from President Trump and mediators Qatar and Pakistan signal intermittent openness to renewed rounds, yet no new high-level meetings have materialized amid economic pressure and military posturing on both sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$256,918 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Jared Kushner
39%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
41%
Steve Witkoff
38%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
38%
Abbas Araghchi
34%
J.D. Vance
33%
Ishaq Dar
30%
Kazem Gharibabadi
30%
Nick Stewart
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Marco Rubio
13%
Rafael Grossi
13%
Masoud Pezeshkian
13%
Pete Hegseth
11%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
10%
Esmail Qaani
7%
Donald Trump
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
5%
$256,918 Vol.
Jared Kushner
$11,300 Vol.
39%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$11,943 Vol.
41%
Steve Witkoff
$15,263 Vol.
38%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$26,436 Vol.
38%
Abbas Araghchi
$7,513 Vol.
34%
J.D. Vance
$17,527 Vol.
33%
Ishaq Dar
$12,667 Vol.
30%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$16,406 Vol.
30%
Nick Stewart
$4,932 Vol.
20%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$16,896 Vol.
18%
Marco Rubio
$13,171 Vol.
13%
Rafael Grossi
$13,665 Vol.
13%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$17,244 Vol.
13%
Pete Hegseth
$14,937 Vol.
11%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$21,655 Vol.
10%
Esmail Qaani
$10,729 Vol.
7%
Donald Trump
$2,414 Vol.
5%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$19,830 Vol.
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
$2,390 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz navigation. High-level talks in Switzerland that month produced working groups and deconfliction mechanisms but yielded no breakthrough, with tensions over Lebanon and Hormuz persisting. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently described the MOU framework as the best available path forward, while Pakistan continues shuttle diplomacy, including an army chief visit to Tehran in late August to revive technical discussions. US statements from President Trump and mediators Qatar and Pakistan signal intermittent openness to renewed rounds, yet no new high-level meetings have materialized amid economic pressure and military posturing on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Volume
$256,918End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz navigation. High-level talks in Switzerland that month produced working groups and deconfliction mechanisms but yielded no breakthrough, with tensions over Lebanon and Hormuz persisting. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently described the MOU framework as the best available path forward, while Pakistan continues shuttle diplomacy, including an army chief visit to Tehran in late August to revive technical discussions. US statements from President Trump and mediators Qatar and Pakistan signal intermittent openness to renewed rounds, yet no new high-level meetings have materialized amid economic pressure and military posturing on both sides.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$256,918End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran diplomacy remains stalled after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding expired without a final accord on the nuclear program, sanctions relief, or Strait of Hormuz navigation. High-level talks in Switzerland that month produced working groups and deconfliction mechanisms but yielded no breakthrough, with tensions over Lebanon and Hormuz persisting. Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian recently described the MOU framework as the best available path forward, while Pakistan continues shuttle diplomacy, including an army chief visit to Tehran in late August to revive technical discussions. US statements from President Trump and mediators Qatar and Pakistan signal intermittent openness to renewed rounds, yet no new high-level meetings have materialized amid economic pressure and military posturing on both sides.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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