Recent flock recovery after 2024-2025 avian influenza outbreaks has boosted U.S. egg supply, pushing July 2026 retail prices to $2.19 per dozen per BLS data and wholesale benchmarks near 42 cents, down sharply year-over-year. This oversupply, compounded by expanded layer inventories and modest import inflows, anchors trader consensus around the $2.10–$2.30 range, where the three leading outcomes hold nearly equal implied probabilities. Key swing factors include seasonal August demand, any further HPAI detections, and the market impact of the recent salmonella recall affecting millions of eggs. Elevated feed costs and producer break-even levels near 78 cents per dozen add downside pressure, while resilient consumer purchases could support firmer retail realizations before the next BLS release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.10–$2.20 34.5%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.20–$2.30 23.0%
$2.40–$2.50 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
<$1.80
2%
$1.80–$1.90
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
1%
$2.00–$2.10
5%
$2.10–$2.20
34%
$2.20–$2.30
23%
$2.30–$2.40
25%
$2.40–$2.50
7%
$2.50–$2.60
2%
≥$2.60
1%
$2.10–$2.20 34.5%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.20–$2.30 23.0%
$2.40–$2.50 7%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
<$1.80
$173 Vol.
2%
$1.80–$1.90
$203 Vol.
<1%
$1.90–$2.00
$457 Vol.
1%
$2.00–$2.10
$279 Vol.
5%
$2.10–$2.20
$2,110 Vol.
34%
$2.20–$2.30
$3,414 Vol.
23%
$2.30–$2.40
$883 Vol.
25%
$2.40–$2.50
$221 Vol.
7%
$2.50–$2.60
$450 Vol.
2%
≥$2.60
$784 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent flock recovery after 2024-2025 avian influenza outbreaks has boosted U.S. egg supply, pushing July 2026 retail prices to $2.19 per dozen per BLS data and wholesale benchmarks near 42 cents, down sharply year-over-year. This oversupply, compounded by expanded layer inventories and modest import inflows, anchors trader consensus around the $2.10–$2.30 range, where the three leading outcomes hold nearly equal implied probabilities. Key swing factors include seasonal August demand, any further HPAI detections, and the market impact of the recent salmonella recall affecting millions of eggs. Elevated feed costs and producer break-even levels near 78 cents per dozen add downside pressure, while resilient consumer purchases could support firmer retail realizations before the next BLS release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Volume
$8,973End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent flock recovery after 2024-2025 avian influenza outbreaks has boosted U.S. egg supply, pushing July 2026 retail prices to $2.19 per dozen per BLS data and wholesale benchmarks near 42 cents, down sharply year-over-year. This oversupply, compounded by expanded layer inventories and modest import inflows, anchors trader consensus around the $2.10–$2.30 range, where the three leading outcomes hold nearly equal implied probabilities. Key swing factors include seasonal August demand, any further HPAI detections, and the market impact of the recent salmonella recall affecting millions of eggs. Elevated feed costs and producer break-even levels near 78 cents per dozen add downside pressure, while resilient consumer purchases could support firmer retail realizations before the next BLS release.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Volume
$8,973End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent flock recovery after 2024-2025 avian influenza outbreaks has boosted U.S. egg supply, pushing July 2026 retail prices to $2.19 per dozen per BLS data and wholesale benchmarks near 42 cents, down sharply year-over-year. This oversupply, compounded by expanded layer inventories and modest import inflows, anchors trader consensus around the $2.10–$2.30 range, where the three leading outcomes hold nearly equal implied probabilities. Key swing factors include seasonal August demand, any further HPAI detections, and the market impact of the recent salmonella recall affecting millions of eggs. Elevated feed costs and producer break-even levels near 78 cents per dozen add downside pressure, while resilient consumer purchases could support firmer retail realizations before the next BLS release.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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