Recent moderation in South Korean consumer prices, with the July 2026 CPI rising 2.8% year-over-year after peaking at 3.2% in June, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year average inflation rate near official forecasts. The Bank of Korea and Korea Development Institute both project 2.7% headline inflation for 2026, while the Ministry of Economy and Finance raised its estimate to 2.6%, citing fading energy price effects alongside resilient exports and domestic demand. Elevated oil prices and prior rate hikes to 2.75% introduce upside risks, keeping the 3.0%+ outcome competitive at 28.6%. With the three leading ranges clustered between 28.6% and 32.8% implied probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether cooling momentum or persistent pressures from wages and global commodities will determine the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 29.5%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 7.2%
$31,358 Vol.
$31,358 Vol.
<1.5%
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
7%
2.4% to 2.6%
30%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
2.4% to 2.6% 29.5%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.1% to 2.3% 7.2%
$31,358 Vol.
$31,358 Vol.
<1.5%
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
3%
1.8% to 2.0%
2%
2.1% to 2.3%
7%
2.4% to 2.6%
30%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Market Opened: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent moderation in South Korean consumer prices, with the July 2026 CPI rising 2.8% year-over-year after peaking at 3.2% in June, has anchored trader expectations for the full-year average inflation rate near official forecasts. The Bank of Korea and Korea Development Institute both project 2.7% headline inflation for 2026, while the Ministry of Economy and Finance raised its estimate to 2.6%, citing fading energy price effects alongside resilient exports and domestic demand. Elevated oil prices and prior rate hikes to 2.75% introduce upside risks, keeping the 3.0%+ outcome competitive at 28.6%. With the three leading ranges clustered between 28.6% and 32.8% implied probability, markets reflect uncertainty over whether cooling momentum or persistent pressures from wages and global commodities will determine the final print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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