China’s consumer price index has moderated through mid-2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—after prints near 1.2% in April-May and 1.0% in June. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, successive declines in food prices driven by abundant pork supply, and softer non-food components including transport costs following lower global energy prices have kept headline inflation subdued. Core measures excluding food and energy have also hovered near or below 1%. These trends, alongside analyst forecasts centering around 1% for the full year, underpin trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome as the most probable range, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push readings materially higher or into deflation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 10%
2.0-2.4% 4.5%
$73,931 Vol.
$73,931 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
10%
1.6 – 2.0%
3%
2.0-2.4%
5%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 60%
0.1 – 0.5% 19.4%
1.1 – 1.5% 10%
2.0-2.4% 4.5%
$73,931 Vol.
$73,931 Vol.
Jan 9, 2027
<-1.0%
$19,736 Vol.
3%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$3,327 Vol.
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$4,597 Vol.
2%
0.1 – 0.5%
$5,172 Vol.
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
$9,037 Vol.
60%
1.1 – 1.5%
$14,382 Vol.
10%
1.6 – 2.0%
$6,462 Vol.
3%
2.0-2.4%
$7,874 Vol.
5%
2.5%+
$3,344 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index has moderated through mid-2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—after prints near 1.2% in April-May and 1.0% in June. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, successive declines in food prices driven by abundant pork supply, and softer non-food components including transport costs following lower global energy prices have kept headline inflation subdued. Core measures excluding food and energy have also hovered near or below 1%. These trends, alongside analyst forecasts centering around 1% for the full year, underpin trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome as the most probable range, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push readings materially higher or into deflation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Market Opened: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Volume
$73,931End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/China’s consumer price index has moderated through mid-2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—after prints near 1.2% in April-May and 1.0% in June. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, successive declines in food prices driven by abundant pork supply, and softer non-food components including transport costs following lower global energy prices have kept headline inflation subdued. Core measures excluding food and energy have also hovered near or below 1%. These trends, alongside analyst forecasts centering around 1% for the full year, underpin trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome as the most probable range, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push readings materially higher or into deflation.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Volume
$73,931End Date
Jan 10, 2027Market Opened
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...China’s consumer price index has moderated through mid-2026, with the July reading easing to 0.5% year-on-year—the lowest since January—after prints near 1.2% in April-May and 1.0% in June. Persistent weakness in domestic demand, successive declines in food prices driven by abundant pork supply, and softer non-food components including transport costs following lower global energy prices have kept headline inflation subdued. Core measures excluding food and energy have also hovered near or below 1%. These trends, alongside analyst forecasts centering around 1% for the full year, underpin trader positioning toward the 0.6–1.0% annual outcome as the most probable range, with limited near-term catalysts expected to push readings materially higher or into deflation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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