Recent July consumer prices rose 2.11% month-on-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%, amid continued fiscal surplus, tight BCRA policy, and gradual peso adjustments. These dynamics have sustained a disinflation path from earlier 2026 peaks near 2.8%, with market-implied odds heavily favoring the 1.8-2.0% bin at 57.1% as traders price in inertia from regulated-price resets offset by moderating core pressures. Analyst surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 29-30%, supporting the secondary 1.5-1.7% outcome at 35.6% while capping upside risks above 2.3%. The September INDEC release and next REM expectations survey represent the key near-term catalysts for any repricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 55.4%
1.5-1.7% 35.6%
2.1-2.3% 5.5%
1.2-1.4% <1%
$13,424 Vol.
$13,424 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
36%
1.8-2.0%
57%
2.1-2.3%
6%
2.4-2.6%
<1%
2.7-2.9%
<1%
3.0%+
<1%
1.8-2.0% 55.4%
1.5-1.7% 35.6%
2.1-2.3% 5.5%
1.2-1.4% <1%
$13,424 Vol.
$13,424 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$683 Vol.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$958 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$3,660 Vol.
36%
1.8-2.0%
$5,311 Vol.
57%
2.1-2.3%
$1,160 Vol.
6%
2.4-2.6%
$554 Vol.
<1%
2.7-2.9%
$549 Vol.
<1%
3.0%+
$549 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July consumer prices rose 2.11% month-on-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%, amid continued fiscal surplus, tight BCRA policy, and gradual peso adjustments. These dynamics have sustained a disinflation path from earlier 2026 peaks near 2.8%, with market-implied odds heavily favoring the 1.8-2.0% bin at 57.1% as traders price in inertia from regulated-price resets offset by moderating core pressures. Analyst surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 29-30%, supporting the secondary 1.5-1.7% outcome at 35.6% while capping upside risks above 2.3%. The September INDEC release and next REM expectations survey represent the key near-term catalysts for any repricing.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$13,424End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July consumer prices rose 2.11% month-on-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%, amid continued fiscal surplus, tight BCRA policy, and gradual peso adjustments. These dynamics have sustained a disinflation path from earlier 2026 peaks near 2.8%, with market-implied odds heavily favoring the 1.8-2.0% bin at 57.1% as traders price in inertia from regulated-price resets offset by moderating core pressures. Analyst surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 29-30%, supporting the secondary 1.5-1.7% outcome at 35.6% while capping upside risks above 2.3%. The September INDEC release and next REM expectations survey represent the key near-term catalysts for any repricing.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$13,424End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July consumer prices rose 2.11% month-on-month, lifting the year-over-year rate to 33.8%, amid continued fiscal surplus, tight BCRA policy, and gradual peso adjustments. These dynamics have sustained a disinflation path from earlier 2026 peaks near 2.8%, with market-implied odds heavily favoring the 1.8-2.0% bin at 57.1% as traders price in inertia from regulated-price resets offset by moderating core pressures. Analyst surveys project full-year 2026 inflation near 29-30%, supporting the secondary 1.5-1.7% outcome at 35.6% while capping upside risks above 2.3%. The September INDEC release and next REM expectations survey represent the key near-term catalysts for any repricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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