Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, evident in the June 2026 JOLTS print of 7.359 million openings that missed the 7.4 million consensus and fell from May’s revised 7.537 million, has anchored trader expectations for the July figure due September 1. Declines concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade align with July’s softer nonfarm payrolls and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, pointing to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment where quits and layoffs remain subdued. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—led by the 7.3M–7.4M and 7.4M–7.5M brackets at 19.5% and 18.5%—outcomes hinge on whether the sequential cooling persists or stabilizes near recent levels, with external forecasts around 7.33 million underscoring the narrow range of plausible results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.3M-7.4M 20%
7.4M-7.5M 19%
7.1M-7.2M 13.9%
7.7M+ 12.9%
$28,806 Vol.
$28,806 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<7.1M
12%
7.1M-7.2M
14%
7.2M-7.3M
12%
7.3M-7.4M
20%
7.4M-7.5M
19%
7.5M-7.6M
5%
7.6M-7.7M
7%
7.7M+
13%
7.3M-7.4M 20%
7.4M-7.5M 19%
7.1M-7.2M 13.9%
7.7M+ 12.9%
$28,806 Vol.
$28,806 Vol.
Sep 1, 2026
<7.1M
$374 Vol.
12%
7.1M-7.2M
$1,570 Vol.
14%
7.2M-7.3M
$7,539 Vol.
12%
7.3M-7.4M
$10,995 Vol.
20%
7.4M-7.5M
$3,027 Vol.
19%
7.5M-7.6M
$2,971 Vol.
5%
7.6M-7.7M
$487 Vol.
7%
7.7M+
$1,843 Vol.
13%
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, evident in the June 2026 JOLTS print of 7.359 million openings that missed the 7.4 million consensus and fell from May’s revised 7.537 million, has anchored trader expectations for the July figure due September 1. Declines concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade align with July’s softer nonfarm payrolls and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, pointing to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment where quits and layoffs remain subdued. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—led by the 7.3M–7.4M and 7.4M–7.5M brackets at 19.5% and 18.5%—outcomes hinge on whether the sequential cooling persists or stabilizes near recent levels, with external forecasts around 7.33 million underscoring the narrow range of plausible results.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Volume
$28,806End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, evident in the June 2026 JOLTS print of 7.359 million openings that missed the 7.4 million consensus and fell from May’s revised 7.537 million, has anchored trader expectations for the July figure due September 1. Declines concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade align with July’s softer nonfarm payrolls and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, pointing to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment where quits and layoffs remain subdued. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—led by the 7.3M–7.4M and 7.4M–7.5M brackets at 19.5% and 18.5%—outcomes hinge on whether the sequential cooling persists or stabilizes near recent levels, with external forecasts around 7.33 million underscoring the narrow range of plausible results.
This is a market about the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings in the United States in July 2026, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS).
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$28,806End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softening in U.S. labor demand, evident in the June 2026 JOLTS print of 7.359 million openings that missed the 7.4 million consensus and fell from May’s revised 7.537 million, has anchored trader expectations for the July figure due September 1. Declines concentrated in healthcare, leisure, and wholesale trade align with July’s softer nonfarm payrolls and a stable 4.1% unemployment rate, pointing to a “low-hire, low-fire” environment where quits and layoffs remain subdued. With market-implied probabilities tightly clustered—led by the 7.3M–7.4M and 7.4M–7.5M brackets at 19.5% and 18.5%—outcomes hinge on whether the sequential cooling persists or stabilizes near recent levels, with external forecasts around 7.33 million underscoring the narrow range of plausible results.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions