Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from the August record close of 7,799 amid fluctuating Treasury yields near 4.70% and mixed inflation signals, including July core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year. Strong corporate earnings— with 85% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates—and projected 25% full-year EPS growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending, have supported equity momentum and analyst year-end targets around 8,000–8,100. Monetary policy uncertainty persists under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with September FOMC odds for a rate hike varying between 25–44% depending on incoming data such as the August PCE release and nonfarm payrolls. Traders weigh these factors against resilient labor conditions and upcoming catalysts including the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$317,185 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ $8,600
11%
↑ $8,200
36%
↑ $8,000
79%
↓ $7,400
74%
↓ $7,200
65%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
12%
↓ $6,000
16%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$317,185 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,465 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
5%
↑ $8,600
$27,278 Vol.
11%
↑ $8,200
$22,155 Vol.
36%
↑ $8,000
$483 Vol.
79%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$45,162 Vol.
12%
↓ $6,000
$728 Vol.
16%
↓ $5,800
$39,414 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$53,373 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$58,706 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from the August record close of 7,799 amid fluctuating Treasury yields near 4.70% and mixed inflation signals, including July core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year. Strong corporate earnings— with 85% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates—and projected 25% full-year EPS growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending, have supported equity momentum and analyst year-end targets around 8,000–8,100. Monetary policy uncertainty persists under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with September FOMC odds for a rate hike varying between 25–44% depending on incoming data such as the August PCE release and nonfarm payrolls. Traders weigh these factors against resilient labor conditions and upcoming catalysts including the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$317,185End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from the August record close of 7,799 amid fluctuating Treasury yields near 4.70% and mixed inflation signals, including July core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year. Strong corporate earnings— with 85% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates—and projected 25% full-year EPS growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending, have supported equity momentum and analyst year-end targets around 8,000–8,100. Monetary policy uncertainty persists under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with September FOMC odds for a rate hike varying between 25–44% depending on incoming data such as the August PCE release and nonfarm payrolls. Traders weigh these factors against resilient labor conditions and upcoming catalysts including the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$317,185End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from the August record close of 7,799 amid fluctuating Treasury yields near 4.70% and mixed inflation signals, including July core CPI at 2.5% year-over-year. Strong corporate earnings— with 85% of S&P 500 companies beating estimates—and projected 25% full-year EPS growth, driven by AI infrastructure spending, have supported equity momentum and analyst year-end targets around 8,000–8,100. Monetary policy uncertainty persists under Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, with September FOMC odds for a rate hike varying between 25–44% depending on incoming data such as the August PCE release and nonfarm payrolls. Traders weigh these factors against resilient labor conditions and upcoming catalysts including the September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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