Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from August highs above 7,799, driven by rising long-term Treasury yields near multi-year peaks and elevated oil prices amid Iran-related supply concerns, which have tempered risk appetite despite prior gains. Soft July inflation readings and a weaker-than-expected jobs report earlier in the month eased near-term rate-hike expectations, while robust Q2 earnings—particularly in AI infrastructure names—supported the index's 11%+ year-to-date advance. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 core PCE release, the Jackson Hole Symposium featuring Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Nvidia's earnings, all of which could shift trader positioning on growth and monetary policy outlooks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $800
8%
↑ $795
8%
↑ $790
9%
↑ $785
8%
↑ $780
14%
↑ $775
26%
↑ $770
79%
↓ $765
92%
↓ $760
77%
↓ $755
24%
↓ $750
13%
↓ $745
8%
↓ $740
21%
↓ $735
12%
$80 Vol.
↑ $800
8%
↑ $795
8%
↑ $790
9%
↑ $785
8%
↑ $780
14%
↑ $775
26%
↑ $770
79%
↓ $765
92%
↓ $760
77%
↓ $755
24%
↓ $750
13%
↓ $745
8%
↓ $740
21%
↓ $735
12%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent S&P 500 levels near 7,674 reflect a pullback from August highs above 7,799, driven by rising long-term Treasury yields near multi-year peaks and elevated oil prices amid Iran-related supply concerns, which have tempered risk appetite despite prior gains. Soft July inflation readings and a weaker-than-expected jobs report earlier in the month eased near-term rate-hike expectations, while robust Q2 earnings—particularly in AI infrastructure names—supported the index's 11%+ year-to-date advance. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 core PCE release, the Jackson Hole Symposium featuring Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh, and Nvidia's earnings, all of which could shift trader positioning on growth and monetary policy outlooks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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