SpaceX shares closed at $136.97 on August 22, implying an equity value near $1.86 trillion, just above the June IPO price of $135. Second-quarter results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion, led by Connectivity and a rapidly expanding AI segment, though heavy capital spending of $18.37 billion and the $60 billion Cursor acquisition closed in mid-August keep free cash flow negative. A 319 million-share unlock around August 20 has increased the tradable float, pressuring the stock near its post-IPO range while 97 Falcon launches year-to-date and scheduled Starlink missions on August 25 plus a Falcon Heavy on August 30 provide near-term operational catalysts that could influence weekly price action and market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $152.50
11%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $147.50
18%
↑ $145
26%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
78%
↑ $137.50
88%
↓ $135
91%
↓ $132.50
84%
↓ $130
60%
↓ $127.50
43%
↓ $125
19%
↓ $122.50
14%
↓ $120
11%
$42 Vol.
↑ $152.50
11%
↑ $150
13%
↑ $147.50
18%
↑ $145
26%
↑ $142.50
50%
↑ $140
78%
↑ $137.50
88%
↓ $135
91%
↓ $132.50
84%
↓ $130
60%
↓ $127.50
43%
↓ $125
19%
↓ $122.50
14%
↓ $120
11%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the SpaceX (SPCX) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX shares closed at $136.97 on August 22, implying an equity value near $1.86 trillion, just above the June IPO price of $135. Second-quarter results showed 92% revenue growth to $7.81 billion, led by Connectivity and a rapidly expanding AI segment, though heavy capital spending of $18.37 billion and the $60 billion Cursor acquisition closed in mid-August keep free cash flow negative. A 319 million-share unlock around August 20 has increased the tradable float, pressuring the stock near its post-IPO range while 97 Falcon launches year-to-date and scheduled Starlink missions on August 25 plus a Falcon Heavy on August 30 provide near-term operational catalysts that could influence weekly price action and market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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