Tesla shares closed the prior week at $362.86 after a 5.14% surge, fueled by Nevada’s approval for up to 5,000 fully autonomous robotaxis and ongoing Cybercab progress. Q2 results showed record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles and revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-over-year, though GAAP net income slipped 5% to $1.11 billion with margin pressure from discounts. The 337x trailing P/E and $1.43 trillion market cap embed heavy expectations for FSD, robotaxi monetization, and Optimus, leaving the stock sensitive to autonomous-vehicle regulatory updates and shifts in risk appetite. Q3 earnings on October 21 represent the next major catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $412.50
6%
↑ $405
3%
↑ $397.50
9%
↑ $390
15%
↑ $382.50
29%
↑ $375
51%
↑ $367.50
79%
↓ $360
85%
↓ $352.50
64%
↓ $345
38%
↓ $337.50
25%
↓ $330
12%
↓ $322.50
5%
↓ $315
5%
$7,306 Vol.
↑ $412.50
6%
↑ $405
3%
↑ $397.50
9%
↑ $390
15%
↑ $382.50
29%
↑ $375
51%
↑ $367.50
79%
↓ $360
85%
↓ $352.50
64%
↓ $345
38%
↓ $337.50
25%
↓ $330
12%
↓ $322.50
5%
↓ $315
5%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed the prior week at $362.86 after a 5.14% surge, fueled by Nevada’s approval for up to 5,000 fully autonomous robotaxis and ongoing Cybercab progress. Q2 results showed record deliveries of 480,126 vehicles and revenue of $28.24 billion, up 26% year-over-year, though GAAP net income slipped 5% to $1.11 billion with margin pressure from discounts. The 337x trailing P/E and $1.43 trillion market cap embed heavy expectations for FSD, robotaxi monetization, and Optimus, leaving the stock sensitive to autonomous-vehicle regulatory updates and shifts in risk appetite. Q3 earnings on October 21 represent the next major catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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