Tesla shares have rebounded sharply in August 2026 to around $363 after testing lows near $297 in late July, driven by regulatory approvals for up to 5,000 robotaxis in Las Vegas and European launch plans for the Semi truck. Q2 results showed record revenue of $28.24 billion and deliveries of 480,126 units, yet non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 missed estimates amid heavy AI and robotics capex exceeding $5.8 billion that pushed free cash flow negative. Traders are pricing in momentum from autonomy and energy storage growth against elevated valuation multiples above 300x trailing earnings and ongoing margin compression. The next earnings release in late October remains a key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$36,750 Vol.
↑ $405
19%
↑ $390
19%
↑ $375
57%
↓ $300
3%
↓ $285
2%
↓ $270
7%
↓ $255
2%
↓ $240
1%
↓ $225
1%
↓ $210
<1%
$36,750 Vol.
↑ $405
19%
↑ $390
19%
↑ $375
57%
↓ $300
3%
↓ $285
2%
↓ $270
7%
↓ $255
2%
↓ $240
1%
↓ $225
1%
↓ $210
<1%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Jul 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) "High" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares have rebounded sharply in August 2026 to around $363 after testing lows near $297 in late July, driven by regulatory approvals for up to 5,000 robotaxis in Las Vegas and European launch plans for the Semi truck. Q2 results showed record revenue of $28.24 billion and deliveries of 480,126 units, yet non-GAAP EPS of $0.33 missed estimates amid heavy AI and robotics capex exceeding $5.8 billion that pushed free cash flow negative. Traders are pricing in momentum from autonomy and energy storage growth against elevated valuation multiples above 300x trailing earnings and ongoing margin compression. The next earnings release in late October remains a key catalyst.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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