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Finance·IPOs

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

icon for Oura IPO Closing Market Cap
Finance·IPOs

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 15.8%

<$7.5B 15%

$10B–$12.5B 14%

$20B+ 14%

Polymarket

$216,368 Vol.

No IPO before January 2027 15.8%

<$7.5B 15%

$10B–$12.5B 14%

$20B+ 14%

Polymarket

$216,368 Vol.

<$7.5B

$25,840 Vol.

15%

$7.5B–$10B

$58,238 Vol.

9%

$10B–$12.5B

$22,387 Vol.

14%

$12.5B–$15B

$51,190 Vol.

11%

$15B–$17.5B

$14,464 Vol.

13%

$17.5B–$20B

$17,053 Vol.

12%

$20B+

$21,704 Vol.

14%

No IPO before January 2027

$5,493 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its $11 billion Series E valuation, anchors trader sentiment amid rapid revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026 sales. Strong subscription renewal rates above 80 percent, 5.5 million rings sold, and recent C-suite additions in AI and investor relations support market-implied odds favoring a debut at or above the private mark. However, fragmented probabilities across valuation buckets and the 15.9 percent chance of delay past 2026 reflect execution uncertainty, including a new August 2026 lawsuit challenging sleep-tracking claims and broader IPO window volatility. Traders price in premium multiples for recurring revenue while discounting risks of slippage or tempered demand.

This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$216,368
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura’s confidential SEC filing in May 2026, following its $11 billion Series E valuation, anchors trader sentiment amid rapid revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026 sales. Strong subscription renewal rates above 80 percent, 5.5 million rings sold, and recent C-suite additions in AI and investor relations support market-implied odds favoring a debut at or above the private mark. However, fragmented probabilities across valuation buckets and the 15.9 percent chance of delay past 2026 reflect execution uncertainty, including a new August 2026 lawsuit challenging sleep-tracking claims and broader IPO window volatility. Traders price in premium multiples for recurring revenue while discounting risks of slippage or tempered demand.

This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$216,368
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Oura IPO Closing Market Cap" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "No IPO before January 2027" at 16%, followed by "<$7.5B" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 16¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oura IPO Closing Market Cap" has generated $216.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on May 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oura IPO Closing Market Cap," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oura IPO Closing Market Cap" is "No IPO before January 2027" at 16%, meaning the market assigns a 16% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "<$7.5B" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oura IPO Closing Market Cap" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.