Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related technology and energy sectors, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026. Second-quarter results showed year-over-year gains exceeding 47 percent, with consensus forecasts pointing to 23 percent full-year EPS expansion and 11 percent revenue growth—the fastest pace since 2021-2022. This supports analyst year-end targets clustered around 7,850 to 8,100, implying modest upside from recent closes near 7,640-7,670. Elevated inflation, with June PCE at 3.7 percent, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate range, with some officials favoring hikes and markets pricing limited easing. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and ongoing third-quarter earnings, while geopolitical oil pressures and Treasury yields remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$316,936 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $10,000
3%
↑ $9,300
5%
↑ $9,000
5%
↑ $8,600
12%
↑ $8,200
37%
↑ $8,000
79%
↓ $7,400
74%
↓ $7,200
65%
↓ $7,000
61%
↓ $6,200
8%
↓ $6,000
7%
↓ $5,800
7%
↓ $5,200
6%
↓ $4,500
3%
$316,936 Vol.
↑ $10,000
$103 Vol.
3%
↑ $9,300
$9,465 Vol.
5%
↑ $9,000
$68 Vol.
5%
↑ $8,600
$27,278 Vol.
12%
↑ $8,200
$22,155 Vol.
37%
↑ $8,000
$483 Vol.
79%
↓ $7,400
$0 Vol.
74%
↓ $7,200
$0 Vol.
65%
↓ $7,000
$200 Vol.
61%
↓ $6,200
$45,082 Vol.
8%
↓ $6,000
$728 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,800
$39,414 Vol.
7%
↓ $5,200
$53,373 Vol.
6%
↓ $4,500
$58,706 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related technology and energy sectors, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026. Second-quarter results showed year-over-year gains exceeding 47 percent, with consensus forecasts pointing to 23 percent full-year EPS expansion and 11 percent revenue growth—the fastest pace since 2021-2022. This supports analyst year-end targets clustered around 7,850 to 8,100, implying modest upside from recent closes near 7,640-7,670. Elevated inflation, with June PCE at 3.7 percent, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate range, with some officials favoring hikes and markets pricing limited easing. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and ongoing third-quarter earnings, while geopolitical oil pressures and Treasury yields remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ET
Volume
$316,936End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related technology and energy sectors, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026. Second-quarter results showed year-over-year gains exceeding 47 percent, with consensus forecasts pointing to 23 percent full-year EPS expansion and 11 percent revenue growth—the fastest pace since 2021-2022. This supports analyst year-end targets clustered around 7,850 to 8,100, implying modest upside from recent closes near 7,640-7,670. Elevated inflation, with June PCE at 3.7 percent, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate range, with some officials favoring hikes and markets pricing limited easing. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and ongoing third-quarter earnings, while geopolitical oil pressures and Treasury yields remain key swing factors.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for December 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volume
$316,936End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:44 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Strong corporate earnings growth, particularly in AI-related technology and energy sectors, anchors trader sentiment for the S&P 500 through year-end 2026. Second-quarter results showed year-over-year gains exceeding 47 percent, with consensus forecasts pointing to 23 percent full-year EPS expansion and 11 percent revenue growth—the fastest pace since 2021-2022. This supports analyst year-end targets clustered around 7,850 to 8,100, implying modest upside from recent closes near 7,640-7,670. Elevated inflation, with June PCE at 3.7 percent, has kept the Federal Reserve on hold at the 3.50-3.75 percent funds rate range, with some officials favoring hikes and markets pricing limited easing. Key near-term catalysts include the August 26 PCE release, Jackson Hole symposium, September 16 FOMC meeting with updated projections, and ongoing third-quarter earnings, while geopolitical oil pressures and Treasury yields remain key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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