Tesla shares closed near $365 on September 11, 2026, after a volatile stretch marked by a 3.98% gain on September 8 followed by a 1.16% decline. Trader focus centers on the company’s heavy capital expenditure ramp—exceeding $5.8 billion in Q2 alone—for AI compute, Cybercab production at Giga Texas, and Optimus, which compressed operating margins to 1.4% despite record 480,126 vehicle deliveries and 26% revenue growth. Options markets price a roughly 5% expected move for the September 18 weekly close, with analyst consensus targets clustered near $390 amid ongoing China competition, regulatory scrutiny on autonomy features, and the next earnings release scheduled for late October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$335
100%
$340
100%
$345
100%
$350
100%
$355
79%
$360
100%
$365
100%
$370
100%
$375
44%
$380
100%
$385
100%
$390
100%
$395
100%
$0.00 Vol.
$335
100%
$340
100%
$345
100%
$350
100%
$355
79%
$360
100%
$365
100%
$370
100%
$375
44%
$380
100%
$385
100%
$390
100%
$395
100%
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Sep 11, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the week, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.TSLA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Tesla shares closed near $365 on September 11, 2026, after a volatile stretch marked by a 3.98% gain on September 8 followed by a 1.16% decline. Trader focus centers on the company’s heavy capital expenditure ramp—exceeding $5.8 billion in Q2 alone—for AI compute, Cybercab production at Giga Texas, and Optimus, which compressed operating margins to 1.4% despite record 480,126 vehicle deliveries and 26% revenue growth. Options markets price a roughly 5% expected move for the September 18 weekly close, with analyst consensus targets clustered near $390 amid ongoing China competition, regulatory scrutiny on autonomy features, and the next earnings release scheduled for late October.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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