US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed on September 1 their readiness for further coordinated yen purchases if markets turn disorderly, following the first joint intervention since 2011 in late July and early August. The yen, which had weakened to 40-year lows near 164 per dollar amid wide US-Japan rate differentials, Bank of Japan policy caution, and Japanese fiscal expansion, has since traded near 156-160. Officials cited excessive volatility and undervaluation as triggers, with the US action—partly via euro sales and the FIMA repo facility—intended to limit pressure on Treasury yields from potential Japanese asset sales. Traders are watching the September 17-18 BOJ meeting and any fresh inflation or labor data for shifts in intervention probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Sep 30, 2026
September 30, 2026
18%
December 31, 2026
41%
$0.00 Vol.
September 30, 2026
$0 Vol.
18%
December 31, 2026
$0 Vol.
41%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed on September 1 their readiness for further coordinated yen purchases if markets turn disorderly, following the first joint intervention since 2011 in late July and early August. The yen, which had weakened to 40-year lows near 164 per dollar amid wide US-Japan rate differentials, Bank of Japan policy caution, and Japanese fiscal expansion, has since traded near 156-160. Officials cited excessive volatility and undervaluation as triggers, with the US action—partly via euro sales and the FIMA repo facility—intended to limit pressure on Treasury yields from potential Japanese asset sales. Traders are watching the September 17-18 BOJ meeting and any fresh inflation or labor data for shifts in intervention probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Market Opened: Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed on September 1 their readiness for further coordinated yen purchases if markets turn disorderly, following the first joint intervention since 2011 in late July and early August. The yen, which had weakened to 40-year lows near 164 per dollar amid wide US-Japan rate differentials, Bank of Japan policy caution, and Japanese fiscal expansion, has since traded near 156-160. Officials cited excessive volatility and undervaluation as triggers, with the US action—partly via euro sales and the FIMA repo facility—intended to limit pressure on Treasury yields from potential Japanese asset sales. Traders are watching the September 17-18 BOJ meeting and any fresh inflation or labor data for shifts in intervention probability.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly.
Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026.
Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify.
Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
Volume
$0End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 8:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama reaffirmed on September 1 their readiness for further coordinated yen purchases if markets turn disorderly, following the first joint intervention since 2011 in late July and early August. The yen, which had weakened to 40-year lows near 164 per dollar amid wide US-Japan rate differentials, Bank of Japan policy caution, and Japanese fiscal expansion, has since traded near 156-160. Officials cited excessive volatility and undervaluation as triggers, with the US action—partly via euro sales and the FIMA repo facility—intended to limit pressure on Treasury yields from potential Japanese asset sales. Traders are watching the September 17-18 BOJ meeting and any fresh inflation or labor data for shifts in intervention probability.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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