US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation, after which Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed Delcy Rodríguez to assume acting presidential powers on an interim basis amid a declared state of emergency. The court framed Maduro’s status as a temporary absence rather than a vacancy, preserving formal continuity under the existing constitutional framework and PSUV structures without triggering new elections. Delcy Rodríguez has since pursued diplomatic engagement with the United States, including sanctions relief and oil-sector openings, while retaining key security figures and avoiding immediate power transitions. No presidential vote or constitutional succession process has occurred by mid-2026, and opposition figures remain largely sidelined. These factors underpin trader consensus that the current regime’s institutional continuity favors Maduro holding the leadership role through year-end, with Rodríguez positioned as the primary alternative should interim arrangements evolve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedVenezuela leader end of 2026?
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
Nicolás Maduro 85.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.4%
No Head of State 1.3%
$95,782,251 Vol.
$95,782,251 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
86%
Delcy Rodríguez
10%
María Corina Machado
2%
No Head of State
1%
Edmundo González
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
Evan Pettus
<1%
Donald Trump
<1%
Marco Rubio
<1%
Pete Hegseth
<1%
Frank Donovan
<1%
Dan Caine
<1%
Richard Grenell
<1%
Nicolás Maduro 85.5%
Delcy Rodríguez 10%
María Corina Machado 2.4%
No Head of State 1.3%
$95,782,251 Vol.
$95,782,251 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
Nicolás Maduro
$2,778,639 Vol.
86%
Delcy Rodríguez
$1,768,670 Vol.
10%
María Corina Machado
$1,446,601 Vol.
2%
No Head of State
$1,514,970 Vol.
1%
Edmundo González
$1,214,564 Vol.
<1%
Diosdado Cabello Rondón
$2,088,972 Vol.
<1%
Vladimir Padrino López
$816,963 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Rodríguez
$1,163,868 Vol.
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,979,791 Vol.
<1%
Evan Pettus
$5,634,830 Vol.
<1%
Donald Trump
$1,125,078 Vol.
<1%
Marco Rubio
$1,404,347 Vol.
<1%
Pete Hegseth
$9,177,944 Vol.
<1%
Frank Donovan
$25,802,439 Vol.
<1%
Dan Caine
$4,113,079 Vol.
<1%
Richard Grenell
$32,751,512 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation, after which Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed Delcy Rodríguez to assume acting presidential powers on an interim basis amid a declared state of emergency. The court framed Maduro’s status as a temporary absence rather than a vacancy, preserving formal continuity under the existing constitutional framework and PSUV structures without triggering new elections. Delcy Rodríguez has since pursued diplomatic engagement with the United States, including sanctions relief and oil-sector openings, while retaining key security figures and avoiding immediate power transitions. No presidential vote or constitutional succession process has occurred by mid-2026, and opposition figures remain largely sidelined. These factors underpin trader consensus that the current regime’s institutional continuity favors Maduro holding the leadership role through year-end, with Rodríguez positioned as the primary alternative should interim arrangements evolve.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Market Opened: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
Volume
$95,782,251End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation, after which Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed Delcy Rodríguez to assume acting presidential powers on an interim basis amid a declared state of emergency. The court framed Maduro’s status as a temporary absence rather than a vacancy, preserving formal continuity under the existing constitutional framework and PSUV structures without triggering new elections. Delcy Rodríguez has since pursued diplomatic engagement with the United States, including sanctions relief and oil-sector openings, while retaining key security figures and avoiding immediate power transitions. No presidential vote or constitutional succession process has occurred by mid-2026, and opposition figures remain largely sidelined. These factors underpin trader consensus that the current regime’s institutional continuity favors Maduro holding the leadership role through year-end, with Rodríguez positioned as the primary alternative should interim arrangements evolve.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
Volume
$95,782,251End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 military operation, after which Venezuela’s Supreme Tribunal of Justice directed Delcy Rodríguez to assume acting presidential powers on an interim basis amid a declared state of emergency. The court framed Maduro’s status as a temporary absence rather than a vacancy, preserving formal continuity under the existing constitutional framework and PSUV structures without triggering new elections. Delcy Rodríguez has since pursued diplomatic engagement with the United States, including sanctions relief and oil-sector openings, while retaining key security figures and avoiding immediate power transitions. No presidential vote or constitutional succession process has occurred by mid-2026, and opposition figures remain largely sidelined. These factors underpin trader consensus that the current regime’s institutional continuity favors Maduro holding the leadership role through year-end, with Rodríguez positioned as the primary alternative should interim arrangements evolve.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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