Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing mutual defense commitments and explicitly leaving the framework open to additional members. Egypt has emerged as the leading candidate for accession, with Turkish officials describing it as a "natural partner" and Cairo stating it is studying the pact in light of its constitutional and legal obligations. Gulf states including Qatar and Kuwait have received positive signals or public encouragement from regional figures, while analysts have also flagged potential interest from Jordan, Azerbaijan, and others. Recent reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review. Expansion discussions focus on institutional setup and alignment with existing bilateral ties, with no formal accessions announced in the weeks since signing. Trader focus centers on how quickly diplomatic and technical hurdles can be cleared before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
NEW
$40,638 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
Lebanon
63%
Oman
59%
Qatar
15%
Egypt
12%
Kuwait
11%
Syria
10%
Yemen
10%
Sudan
9%
Iran
9%
Bahrain
9%
Iraq
9%
Somalia
9%
Algeria
7%
Jordan
7%
Morocco
6%
United Arab Emirates
5%
$40,638 Vol.
Lebanon
$838 Vol.
63%
Oman
$699 Vol.
59%
Qatar
$1,335 Vol.
15%
Egypt
$2,828 Vol.
12%
Kuwait
$1,454 Vol.
11%
Syria
$2,391 Vol.
10%
Yemen
$0 Vol.
10%
Sudan
$1,940 Vol.
9%
Iran
$1,214 Vol.
9%
Bahrain
$1,088 Vol.
9%
Iraq
$1,531 Vol.
9%
Somalia
$2,737 Vol.
9%
Algeria
$0 Vol.
7%
Jordan
$1,012 Vol.
7%
Morocco
$1,591 Vol.
6%
United Arab Emirates
$19,978 Vol.
5%
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing mutual defense commitments and explicitly leaving the framework open to additional members. Egypt has emerged as the leading candidate for accession, with Turkish officials describing it as a "natural partner" and Cairo stating it is studying the pact in light of its constitutional and legal obligations. Gulf states including Qatar and Kuwait have received positive signals or public encouragement from regional figures, while analysts have also flagged potential interest from Jordan, Azerbaijan, and others. Recent reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review. Expansion discussions focus on institutional setup and alignment with existing bilateral ties, with no formal accessions announced in the weeks since signing. Trader focus centers on how quickly diplomatic and technical hurdles can be cleared before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ET
Volume
$40,638End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing mutual defense commitments and explicitly leaving the framework open to additional members. Egypt has emerged as the leading candidate for accession, with Turkish officials describing it as a "natural partner" and Cairo stating it is studying the pact in light of its constitutional and legal obligations. Gulf states including Qatar and Kuwait have received positive signals or public encouragement from regional figures, while analysts have also flagged potential interest from Jordan, Azerbaijan, and others. Recent reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review. Expansion discussions focus on institutional setup and alignment with existing bilateral ties, with no formal accessions announced in the weeks since signing. Trader focus centers on how quickly diplomatic and technical hurdles can be cleared before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
The Makkah Joint Defence Agreement (also known as the Makkah Accord or Mecca Joint Defense Agreement) is a collective-defense agreement signed by Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan on August 7, 2026, under which an armed attack against any one of the three countries is regarded as an attack against them all. The agreement has subsequently been described by its signatories as open to additional countries.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country formally joins the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The listed country will be considered to have formally joined if either of the following occurs:
- the country signs the Agreement or a formal accession protocol or instrument that, by its terms or official characterization, makes it a party, member, or signatory; or
- the country and the Agreement’s existing parties officially announce, jointly or separately, that the country has become a party, member, or signatory.
Statements of intent, applications, invitations to join, negotiations, parliamentary authorization, approval in principle, or general defense cooperation will not qualify. A separate bilateral or multilateral defense agreement will not qualify unless it is officially identified as accession to the Makkah Joint Defence Agreement.
Once a qualifying accession has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent withdrawal, suspension, reversal, or termination.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, Pakistan, and the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$40,638End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 8:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Saudi Arabia, Türkiye, and Pakistan signed the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement on August 7, 2026, establishing mutual defense commitments and explicitly leaving the framework open to additional members. Egypt has emerged as the leading candidate for accession, with Turkish officials describing it as a "natural partner" and Cairo stating it is studying the pact in light of its constitutional and legal obligations. Gulf states including Qatar and Kuwait have received positive signals or public encouragement from regional figures, while analysts have also flagged potential interest from Jordan, Azerbaijan, and others. Recent reports indicate Iran received an invitation now under review. Expansion discussions focus on institutional setup and alignment with existing bilateral ties, with no formal accessions announced in the weeks since signing. Trader focus centers on how quickly diplomatic and technical hurdles can be cleared before the December 31, 2026 deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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