Trader sentiment in the Valorant market reflects ongoing VCT roster instability heading into late 2026, with elevated probabilities for players such as Primmie and Demon1 driven by recent Stage 2 performances, team standings, and buyout interest from international organizations. Organizational rebuilds across multiple squads have accelerated departures, while salary cap pressures and visa considerations for cross-regional talent introduce additional uncertainty. Recent international events and mid-year transfers have shifted implied probabilities, as competitive form and contract structures continue to influence whether listed players remain on active rosters through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
leaf
73%
Primmie
58%
D4v41
50%
Jinggg
50%
something
50%
BuZz
50%
Jawgemo
50%
valyn
50%
f0rsaken
50%
Cryocells
49%
invy
16%
Skuba
18%
kiNgg
17%
Sato
51%
brawk
51%
Meteor
50%
Jemkin
34%
Asuna
51%
Demon1
50%
trent
51%
$2,761 Vol.
leaf
$569 Vol.
73%
Primmie
$156 Vol.
58%
D4v41
$0 Vol.
50%
Jinggg
$0 Vol.
50%
something
$0 Vol.
50%
BuZz
$0 Vol.
50%
Jawgemo
$0 Vol.
50%
valyn
$0 Vol.
50%
f0rsaken
$25 Vol.
50%
Cryocells
$85 Vol.
49%
invy
$210 Vol.
16%
Skuba
$25 Vol.
18%
kiNgg
$90 Vol.
17%
Sato
$110 Vol.
51%
brawk
$111 Vol.
51%
Meteor
$217 Vol.
50%
Jemkin
$320 Vol.
34%
Asuna
$261 Vol.
51%
Demon1
$517 Vol.
50%
trent
$65 Vol.
51%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in the Valorant market reflects ongoing VCT roster instability heading into late 2026, with elevated probabilities for players such as Primmie and Demon1 driven by recent Stage 2 performances, team standings, and buyout interest from international organizations. Organizational rebuilds across multiple squads have accelerated departures, while salary cap pressures and visa considerations for cross-regional talent introduce additional uncertainty. Recent international events and mid-year transfers have shifted implied probabilities, as competitive form and contract structures continue to influence whether listed players remain on active rosters through year-end.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ET
Volume
$2,761Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader sentiment in the Valorant market reflects ongoing VCT roster instability heading into late 2026, with elevated probabilities for players such as Primmie and Demon1 driven by recent Stage 2 performances, team standings, and buyout interest from international organizations. Organizational rebuilds across multiple squads have accelerated departures, while salary cap pressures and visa considerations for cross-regional talent introduce additional uncertainty. Recent international events and mid-year transfers have shifted implied probabilities, as competitive form and contract structures continue to influence whether listed players remain on active rosters through year-end.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player departs the listed team's active roster on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purpose of this market, the listed player is considered to have "left" if they are officially removed from the listed team's active roster — including a transfer to another team, release, benching to inactive/reserve, loan to another team, retirement, or any other departure from the active lineup — as reflected on the team's Liquipedia page (https://liquipedia.net/valorant). The player being a stand-in for another team while still rostered does not by itself count.
The change must occur on or before the deadline and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the departure appears in the resolution source, it must remain in effect for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the departure itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted before 48 hours have elapsed, it will not count toward resolution.
A name change or alias referring to the same player on the same team does not count as leaving. Temporary absence for a single match (with the player remaining on the roster) does not count.
If the listed team disbands, or the listed player and the team part ways because the roster is dissolved, this will count as the player leaving and resolve "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,761Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:45 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment in the Valorant market reflects ongoing VCT roster instability heading into late 2026, with elevated probabilities for players such as Primmie and Demon1 driven by recent Stage 2 performances, team standings, and buyout interest from international organizations. Organizational rebuilds across multiple squads have accelerated departures, while salary cap pressures and visa considerations for cross-regional talent introduce additional uncertainty. Recent international events and mid-year transfers have shifted implied probabilities, as competitive form and contract structures continue to influence whether listed players remain on active rosters through year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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