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Sports·Valorant

Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?

icon for Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?
Sports·Valorant

Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?

6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
6% chance
Polymarket
NEW
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves’ primary rosters across Counter-Strike 2 and VALORANT have stabilized following targeted mid-year adjustments, supporting the 93.5% implied probability against further changes before September.** In CS2, the organization benched Ag1l in late June 2026 and integrated IGL Gizmy alongside rain, poiii, sirah, and dev1ce under coach gla1ve, with the last confirmed transaction occurring around July 1. This rebuild addressed consistency issues after an earlier return to the scene. The VALORANT VCT Americas lineup—featuring Asuna, Cryocells, bang, vora, and Timotino with coaches Nbs and d00mbr0s—has remained intact since its November 2025 overhaul, showing no reported injuries, performance-driven shakeups, or contract developments in the past month. Recent Apex roster activity (August 12) also reflects completion rather than ongoing flux. With no league announcements, official beat reports, or roster rumors surfacing in the last 30 days and the team entering a stable competitive window, traders view additional moves as unlikely before the September deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$650
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**100 Thieves’ primary rosters across Counter-Strike 2 and VALORANT have stabilized following targeted mid-year adjustments, supporting the 93.5% implied probability against further changes before September.** In CS2, the organization benched Ag1l in late June 2026 and integrated IGL Gizmy alongside rain, poiii, sirah, and dev1ce under coach gla1ve, with the last confirmed transaction occurring around July 1. This rebuild addressed consistency issues after an earlier return to the scene. The VALORANT VCT Americas lineup—featuring Asuna, Cryocells, bang, vora, and Timotino with coaches Nbs and d00mbr0s—has remained intact since its November 2025 overhaul, showing no reported injuries, performance-driven shakeups, or contract developments in the past month. Recent Apex roster activity (August 12) also reflects completion rather than ongoing flux. With no league announcements, official beat reports, or roster rumors surfacing in the last 30 days and the team entering a stable competitive window, traders view additional moves as unlikely before the September deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes.

Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count.

A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed.

A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$650
Market Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player joins or leaves 100 Thieves' main VALORANT roster (defined as the players listed with "Active" status in the roster table on 100 Thieves' Liquipedia page: https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves) by August 31, 11:59pm ET, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". As of market creation the active starter roster consists of the following five players: Cryocells, Asuna, Bang, Vora, Timotino. Name changes or aliases referring to the same player do not qualify as roster changes. Roster change refers to any official signing, transfer, benching to inactive/reserve, release, retirement, or departure of a player from the active starting lineup. This includes adding new players (transfers, free agent signings, or loans), removing players (to bench/inactive, free agency, or other teams), or any change resulting in a different active roster. Coach and staff changes, and temporary stand-ins/substitutes will not count. A player appearing in the active lineup for matches or events solely as a designated substitute or stand-in for a single event does not count toward a roster change. To qualify, a roster change must be officially confirmed by 100 Thieves or the player involved; leaks, rumors, or unconfirmed reporting do not count until officially confirmed. A qualifying roster change must occur on or before the deadline, and be reflected in the resolution source. Once the change appears in the resolution source, it must remain live for at least 48 continuous hours to be valid. This 48-hour period may finish after the deadline, so long as the change itself occurred on or before the deadline. If the change is reverted or removed before 48 hours have elapsed, the window resets and will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be Liquipedia (https://liquipedia.net/valorant/100_Thieves), however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 7% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 7¢, the market collectively assigns a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?" is 7% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 7% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will 100 Thieves make a roster change before September?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.