Petr Yan holds overwhelming trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next opponent because their bantamweight trilogy bout has been officially scheduled for UFC 333 on October 24, 2026, in Abu Dhabi. Yan reclaimed the title with a unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, following Dvalishvili’s earlier win in their 2023 meeting and Dvalishvili’s multiple 2025 title defenses. This rubber match aligns with standard UFC rematch protocols after a title change and recent form that positions Yan as the division’s top contender. Alternative matchups against fighters such as Cory Sandhagen or Umar Nurmagomedov carry minimal market weight given the locked-in date and opponent. Late injuries, contract disputes, or event rescheduling remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before fight week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUmar Nurmagomedov <1%
Aiemann Zahabi <1%
Rob Font <1%
Alexandre Pantoja <1%
$1,194,750 Vol.
$1,194,750 Vol.
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Sean O'Malley
<1%
Umar Nurmagomedov <1%
Aiemann Zahabi <1%
Rob Font <1%
Alexandre Pantoja <1%
$1,194,750 Vol.
$1,194,750 Vol.
Umar Nurmagomedov
<1%
Aiemann Zahabi
<1%
Rob Font
<1%
Alexandre Pantoja
<1%
Cory Sandhagen
<1%
Song Yadong
<1%
Payton Talbott
<1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
<1%
Alexander Volkanovski
<1%
Pedro Munhoz
<1%
Sean O'Malley
<1%
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Market Opened: Dec 8, 2025, 5:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Merab Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place.
Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count.
If Dvalishvili is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Petr Yan holds overwhelming trader consensus at near-certain implied probability for Merab Dvalishvili’s next opponent because their bantamweight trilogy bout has been officially scheduled for UFC 333 on October 24, 2026, in Abu Dhabi. Yan reclaimed the title with a unanimous decision victory over Dvalishvili at UFC 323 in December 2025, following Dvalishvili’s earlier win in their 2023 meeting and Dvalishvili’s multiple 2025 title defenses. This rubber match aligns with standard UFC rematch protocols after a title change and recent form that positions Yan as the division’s top contender. Alternative matchups against fighters such as Cory Sandhagen or Umar Nurmagomedov carry minimal market weight given the locked-in date and opponent. Late injuries, contract disputes, or event rescheduling remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome before fight week.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions