Carlos Alcaraz’s official confirmation on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open, following intensive training sessions with players such as Holger Rune, underpins the 96.9% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. The defending champion, sidelined since April by a right wrist injury that caused him to miss the French Open, Wimbledon, and lead-up hard-court events, has cleared final fitness tests and signaled readiness ahead of the August 30 main draw. Trader consensus reflects the timing of his public announcement and positive on-court preparation reports. Residual uncertainty stems from the extended layoff and the physical demands of best-of-five-set matches upon return, where any setback in the final pre-tournament window could prompt a late withdrawal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated97% chance
$45,441 Vol.
$45,441 Vol.
97% chance
$45,441 Vol.
$45,441 Vol.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s official confirmation on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open, following intensive training sessions with players such as Holger Rune, underpins the 96.9% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. The defending champion, sidelined since April by a right wrist injury that caused him to miss the French Open, Wimbledon, and lead-up hard-court events, has cleared final fitness tests and signaled readiness ahead of the August 30 main draw. Trader consensus reflects the timing of his public announcement and positive on-court preparation reports. Residual uncertainty stems from the extended layoff and the physical demands of best-of-five-set matches upon return, where any setback in the final pre-tournament window could prompt a late withdrawal.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$45,441Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Carlos Alcaraz’s official confirmation on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open, following intensive training sessions with players such as Holger Rune, underpins the 96.9% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. The defending champion, sidelined since April by a right wrist injury that caused him to miss the French Open, Wimbledon, and lead-up hard-court events, has cleared final fitness tests and signaled readiness ahead of the August 30 main draw. Trader consensus reflects the timing of his public announcement and positive on-court preparation reports. Residual uncertainty stems from the extended layoff and the physical demands of best-of-five-set matches upon return, where any setback in the final pre-tournament window could prompt a late withdrawal.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Carlos Alcaraz competes in at least one main-draw singles match at the 2026 US Open, scheduled for August 30, 2026 to September 13, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No."
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Carlos Alcaraz is considered to have "played" if he takes the court and play begins in any of his main-draw singles matches. Being entered in the draw, or an opponent's retirement or walkover before any play begins, does not by itself count as having played. If Alcaraz begins a match and then retires or is defaulted, this market will resolve "Yes."
If the tournament is postponed beyond September 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or canceled before Alcaraz plays a main-draw singles match, this market will resolve "No."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Open (usopen.org); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$45,441Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Carlos Alcaraz’s official confirmation on August 20 that he will compete at the 2026 U.S. Open, following intensive training sessions with players such as Holger Rune, underpins the 96.9% implied probability for a “Yes” outcome. The defending champion, sidelined since April by a right wrist injury that caused him to miss the French Open, Wimbledon, and lead-up hard-court events, has cleared final fitness tests and signaled readiness ahead of the August 30 main draw. Trader consensus reflects the timing of his public announcement and positive on-court preparation reports. Residual uncertainty stems from the extended layoff and the physical demands of best-of-five-set matches upon return, where any setback in the final pre-tournament window could prompt a late withdrawal.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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