Breaking Finance News & Predictions
Aug 23, 2026
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See the polymarkets that moved the most in the last 24 hours

Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?

Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.75 and $3.00 on August 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $4.50 and $5.00 on August 31, 2026?

Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?

Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?

Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?
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Breaking news
Ukraine believes Putin will draft 300,000 additional troops after Russia’s September’s elections.
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Iceland will vote August 29 on whether to reopen EU membership talks.
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Mexican governor Ruben Rocha requests leave again just days after returning to office, amid U.S. cartel & drug trafficking charges.
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Canada’s Carney declares the country is now “at war” with United States trade
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Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy declares Canada “doesn't have a military.”
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Singapore offers a nearly $8,000 “baby gift” & $55,000 in government support per child through age 17 as birth rates hit a record low.
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China abruptly postpones its Chang’e-7 lunar mission following a “comprehensive assessment.”
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Congo receives 16,250 Ebola vaccine doses as it battles the fastest Ebola outbreak in history.
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Jake Lang arrested in Minneapolis on suspicion of rioting.
New polymarket
Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?
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Paramount moves toward settling California’s antitrust challenge to its $81 billion Warner Bros. deal.
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China prepares to launch its most ambitious moon mission yet, sending a robotic “hopper” to search craters at the lunar south pole for water ice.
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Putin warns Ukraine has opened “Pandora’s Box”
New polymarket
Lagos, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
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Vatican plans massive solar farm outside Rome to power Vatican City, with surplus electricity potentially sent to Italy.
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Zelenskyy holds nearly two-hour call with Macron focused on speeding up French weapons deliveries, air defense, & missile production.
New polymarket
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz this week?
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Ireland is reportedly considering nuclear power to meet surging electricity demand from data centers.
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Chinese robot “Tianzhuo” clocks a 9.39-second 100m at the World Humanoid Robot Games — faster than Usain Bolt’s human world record.

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China is reportedly using AI models of American voters to simulate U.S. elections & model how swing-state voters may respond to political campaigns.
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Iran warns neighboring countries they will be treated as “enemies” if they join the U.S. economic war against Tehran.
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Kenyan goat herder sparks massive gold rush after finding a 3-gram gold nugget while searching for a missing goat.
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Jury awards $275,000 each to two teenagers who were trapped upside down for 25 minutes on an Oregon amusement park ride after it malfunctioned.
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Iranian hackers reportedly shut down a British power plant for four days in an “unprecedented” cyberattack.
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Red Lobster brings back Endless Shrimp, two years after the promotion helped contribute to millions in losses before its bankruptcy.
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Venture capitalist proposes a network of giant data centers along the U.S.-Mexico border.
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1 y/o migrant appears in AZ immigration court without a lawyer & is reportedly told to file an asylum application before the next hearing or face deportation.
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Nvidia to reportedly hike prices on AI servers by 15%+ for some major customers.
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Mark Carney declares Canada is “at war” with the U.S. as new tariffs take effect.

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MrBeast rents an entire city, offers police department $500,000 if officers can arrest him before the end of the day.
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Trump’s latest financial disclosure reveals he made more than 1,000 securities trades in June, valued at up to $263 million.
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Court filing reveals luxury cars featured in the Tate brothers’ social media videos — including $5M & $7M Bugattis — were rented.
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Georgia police are searching for an elderly man who allegedly found $30 on the ground at Walmart & kept it instead of turning it in.
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Hyperliquid projected to surge above $100 by end of year — 64% chance.
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Nearly 9 in 10 adults under 40 say buying a home is harder today than it was for their parents. — NYT
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Romania declares emergency measures to raise the Danube after dangerously low water levels forced its Cernavoda nuclear plant to shut down.
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New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill signs law making it a crime to threaten, intimidate, or block people seeking abortion care, with penalties of up to 10 years in prison.
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Lionel Messi fined by MLS after slapping opponent in the back of the head.
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Iran grants special permission for Iraqi oil tankers to pass through the Strait of Hormuz.
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ICE is reportedly placing ankle monitors on Haitian immigrants in Springfield, Ohio, to track them while their immigration cases remain pending.
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Iran accuses the U.S. of pursuing “full-scale classic colonialism”
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Support for Quebec independence plunges to roughly 30%, its lowest level in decades.
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Canadian PM Mark Carney vows to match new U.S. tariffs “dollar for dollar” after trade talks collapse.
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China unveils a “robotic horse” with a human rider at the 2026 World Robot Conference in Beijing.

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Passenger’s laptop catches fire aboard an American Airlines flight from Atlanta to Dallas.
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U.S. researchers successfully transmit quantum information wirelessly through open air over 13 miles, advancing efforts to build a future quantum internet.
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RFK Jr. unveils plan for a nationwide autism alert system to help locate missing autistic people.
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Harvard Business School launches AI “clones” of professors that can hear startup pitches, simulate sales calls, & run mock board meetings.
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Mysterious new “Ox Alpha” AI model appears on OpenRouter with a 1 million token context window, multimodal capabilities, & no disclosed owner.
New polymarket
Natalie Harp out as Special Assistant to the President by December 31?
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USPS issues rule requiring states to provide voter & ballot barcode data before mail ballots can be delivered, if courts allow it to take effect.
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UN warns the Ebola outbreak in DR Congo is “growing exponentially” as death toll surpasses 2,500.
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Record number of UK students plan to live at home while attending university, with more than 81,000 citing soaring living & housing costs.
New polymarket
US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?
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Botswana warns citizens are being lured overseas with fake jobs, enlisted in the Russian army, & deployed to frontlines in Ukraine.
New polymarket
Will Macron call a referendum by December 31?
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AI dating startup Ditto reveals 160,000+ students have signed up for its app that automatically picks their match & sends them a fully planned date itinerary.
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U.S.-Canada trade talks reportedly collapse at the last minute, triggering 50% U.S. tariffs on ~$20 billion of Canadian goods.
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Log Cabin Republicans formally drop the “T” from LGBT.
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Pentagon fires publisher & editor in chief of the U.S. military’s government-funded newspaper.
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U.S. judge strikes down Trump policy suspending immigrant visa processing for applicants from 75 countries.
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YC startup Meteoric launches drones designed to disperse clouds over solar farms, claiming they can boost annual power output by up to 30% without chemicals.
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Nashville hospital says "sorry" for injecting potassium chloride into the spines of those getting routine surgeries, paralyzing them.
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Defense rests in Lindsay Clancy murder trial after psychiatrist testifies she was psychotic and “did not have control of her own body”
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SEC charges former senior Bank of America investment banker with insider trading, alleging he tipped a friend who made $18.5 million in illegal profits.
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It’s been revealed the vast majority of AI datacenter resources are spent serving requests for robots vs humans.
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Türkiye demands the arrest of Israeli PM Benjamin Netanyahu.
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U.S. Army Secretary Dan Driscoll is expected to step down by end of the year after “months of tension” with Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. — WSJ
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U.S. cuts Colorado River water allocations to Arizona, California, & Nevada by roughly 25% over the next two years amid severe drought.
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Australia charges man accused of joining Ukraine’s military to obtain sensitive information & pass it to people he believed were Russian intelligence.
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Five U.S. deportees reportedly refused to leave a plane after being sent to Liberia, prompting officials to fly them to another country, Equatorial Guinea.
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TikTok agrees to pay $400 million to settle U.S. allegations that it illegally collected children’s personal information without parental consent.
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Solana projected to reclaim $100 by the end of August. 58% chance.
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President Trump reveals the U.S. military has been seeking a White House ballroom for "100 years"
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Mark Cuban reveals he's a "huge fan" of James Talarico for U.S. Senate.
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Palantir CEO Alex Karp hosts Wu-Tang Clan’s Raekwon at the company’s office.