Recent moderation in producer prices, with July 2026 final demand PPI rising 4.7% year-over-year (down from 5.5% in June and below the 4.9% consensus), has shaped trader positioning ahead of the August release due September 10. The slowdown stemmed primarily from a 3.1% monthly drop in energy costs amid easing effects from earlier oil price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, alongside flat headline prices and a 4.2% core reading. Market-implied odds place 63.5% probability on 5.1% or higher for August, reflecting expectations that renewed energy price strength could lift the print, while lower outcomes capture potential persistence of goods deflation. This data aligns with parallel CPI cooling to 3.4% and informs Fed rate path assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.1%+ 67%
4.9% 19%
5.0% 6%
4.7% 5%
$13,607 Vol.
$13,607 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
<1%
4.6%
3%
4.7%
5%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
13%
5.0%
6%
5.1%+
66%
5.1%+ 67%
4.9% 19%
5.0% 6%
4.7% 5%
$13,607 Vol.
$13,607 Vol.
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
1%
4.5%
<1%
4.6%
3%
4.7%
5%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
13%
5.0%
6%
5.1%+
66%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent moderation in producer prices, with July 2026 final demand PPI rising 4.7% year-over-year (down from 5.5% in June and below the 4.9% consensus), has shaped trader positioning ahead of the August release due September 10. The slowdown stemmed primarily from a 3.1% monthly drop in energy costs amid easing effects from earlier oil price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, alongside flat headline prices and a 4.2% core reading. Market-implied odds place 63.5% probability on 5.1% or higher for August, reflecting expectations that renewed energy price strength could lift the print, while lower outcomes capture potential persistence of goods deflation. This data aligns with parallel CPI cooling to 3.4% and informs Fed rate path assessments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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