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Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

icon for PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner
Sports·PGA

PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Winner

Top 5

Top 10

Top 20

Scottie Scheffler 28%

Rory McIlroy 21%

Xander Schauffele 21%

Wyndham Clark 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler 28%

Rory McIlroy 21%

Xander Schauffele 21%

Wyndham Clark 19%

Polymarket
NEW

Scottie Scheffler

$0 Vol.

28%

Rory McIlroy

$0 Vol.

21%

Xander Schauffele

$0 Vol.

21%

Wyndham Clark

$0 Vol.

19%

Collin Morikawa

$0 Vol.

19%

Cameron Young

$0 Vol.

18%

Sam Burns

$0 Vol.

18%

Ludvig Aberg

$0 Vol.

18%

Tommy Fleetwood

$0 Vol.

18%

Si Woo Kim

$0 Vol.

18%

Matt Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

18%

Viktor Hovland

$0 Vol.

17%

Min Woo Lee

$0 Vol.

17%

Hideki Matsuyama

$0 Vol.

17%

Ryan Gerard

$0 Vol.

17%

Adam Scott

$0 Vol.

17%

Alex Smalley

$0 Vol.

17%

J.J. Spaun

$0 Vol.

17%

Russell Henley

$0 Vol.

17%

Tom Kim

$0 Vol.

17%

Kristoffer Reitan

$0 Vol.

17%

Jacob Bridgeman

$0 Vol.

17%

Akshay Bhatia

$0 Vol.

17%

Alex Fitzpatrick

$0 Vol.

17%

Ryan Fox

$0 Vol.

17%

Justin Rose

$0 Vol.

17%

Chris Gotterup

$3 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship as the narrow market leader at 27% implied probability after his dominant FedEx St. Jude victory and consistent top finishes, though a T12 at the ongoing BMW Championship while battling illness has kept his edge modest. The top contenders—Xander Schauffele, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy clustered near 19-20.5%, followed closely by Sam Burns, Tommy Fleetwood, Cameron Young, and Matt Fitzpatrick—reflect the deep, high-caliber field of FedEx Cup qualifiers where recent form, course fit at East Lake, and starting-stroke advantages create tight competitive dynamics. Multiple players sit within a few percentage points due to the event’s structure and the group’s comparable major-championship pedigrees and 2026 results.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$33
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).Scottie Scheffler enters the 2026 TOUR Championship as the narrow market leader at 27% implied probability after his dominant FedEx St. Jude victory and consistent top finishes, though a T12 at the ongoing BMW Championship while battling illness has kept his edge modest. The top contenders—Xander Schauffele, Ludvig Åberg, and Rory McIlroy clustered near 19-20.5%, followed closely by Sam Burns, Tommy Fleetwood, Cameron Young, and Matt Fitzpatrick—reflect the deep, high-caliber field of FedEx Cup qualifiers where recent form, course fit at East Lake, and starting-stroke advantages create tight competitive dynamics. Multiple players sit within a few percentage points due to the event’s structure and the group’s comparable major-championship pedigrees and 2026 results.

This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament.

If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No".

If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Volume
$33
End Date
Aug 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.pgatour.com/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed player who wins the 2026 TOUR Championship tournament. If a listed player is eliminated from contention for the TOUR Championship tournament based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will immediately resolve to "No". If an unlisted player wins the TOUR Championship tournament this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by PGA Tour official tournament rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If no winner is announced by September 5, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scottie Scheffler" at 28%, followed by "Rory McIlroy" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" is "Scottie Scheffler" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rory McIlroy" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "PGA Tour: TOUR Championship Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.