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Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

icon for 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Sports·WTA

2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)

Aryna Sabalenka 23%

Iga Swiatek 16%

Coco Gauff 12.4%

Naomi Osaka 7.2%

Polymarket

$6,937,464 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka 23%

Iga Swiatek 16%

Coco Gauff 12.4%

Naomi Osaka 7.2%

Polymarket

$6,937,464 Vol.

Aryna Sabalenka

$72,076 Vol.

23%

Iga Swiatek

$52,662 Vol.

16%

Coco Gauff

$58,244 Vol.

12%

Naomi Osaka

$38,544 Vol.

7%

Mirra Andreeva

$62,555 Vol.

7%

Jessica Pegula

$118,755 Vol.

5%

Amanda Anisimova

$105,223 Vol.

3%

Elena Rybakina

$121,313 Vol.

3%

Alexandra Eala

$303,746 Vol.

3%

Linda Noskova

$35,019 Vol.

3%

Karolina Muchova

$50,753 Vol.

2%

Elina Svitolina

$44,339 Vol.

2%

Madison Keys

$40,369 Vol.

1%

Barbora Krejcikova

$553,705 Vol.

1%

Diana Shnaider

$60,541 Vol.

1%

Belinda Bencic

$77,761 Vol.

1%

Emma Navarro

$57,678 Vol.

1%

Ekaterina Alexandrova

$59,674 Vol.

1%

Elise Mertens

$57,266 Vol.

1%

Paula Badosa

$36,218 Vol.

1%

Jasmine Paolini

$39,686 Vol.

1%

Qinwen Zheng

$270,480 Vol.

1%

Liudmila Samsonova

$45,796 Vol.

1%

Tereza Valentova

$566,800 Vol.

<1%

Anastasia Potapova

$449,752 Vol.

<1%

Marie Bouzkova

$52,093 Vol.

<1%

Jelena Ostapenko

$39,528 Vol.

<1%

Clara Tauson

$29,317 Vol.

<1%

Donna Vekic

$148,758 Vol.

<1%

Dayana Yastremska

$30,049 Vol.

<1%

Xiyu Wang

$1,052,031 Vol.

<1%

Sofia Kenin

$198,812 Vol.

<1%

Maya Joint

$46,412 Vol.

<1%

Ashlyn Krueger

$48,182 Vol.

<1%

Marketa Vondrousova

$59,495 Vol.

<1%

Beatriz Haddad Maia

$40,239 Vol.

<1%

Victoria Mboko

$44,940 Vol.

<1%

Emma Raducanu

$78,997 Vol.

<1%

Daria Kasatkina

$19,177 Vol.

<1%

Katie Boulter

$1,670,517 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the highest implied probability as the two-time defending US Open champion and current WTA No. 1, bolstered by her dominant 2026 hard-court results and recent finals appearances. However, the field remains tightly contested because Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, Naomi Osaka, and Mirra Andreeva occupy nearby rankings with strong recent form, while Jessica Pegula, Amanda Anisimova, and others sit just behind in the top 10. Elena Rybakina’s recent Achilles injury has introduced uncertainty for a key contender, and the absence of a clear dominant force beyond Sabalenka—combined with deep WTA depth, varying hard-court preferences, and potential late draw or fitness shifts—keeps probabilities clustered among multiple realistic title threats.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,937,464
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aryna Sabalenka holds the highest implied probability as the two-time defending US Open champion and current WTA No. 1, bolstered by her dominant 2026 hard-court results and recent finals appearances. However, the field remains tightly contested because Iga Swiatek, Coco Gauff, Naomi Osaka, and Mirra Andreeva occupy nearby rankings with strong recent form, while Jessica Pegula, Amanda Anisimova, and others sit just behind in the top 10. Elena Rybakina’s recent Achilles injury has introduced uncertainty for a key contender, and the absence of a clear dominant force beyond Sabalenka—combined with deep WTA depth, varying hard-court preferences, and potential late draw or fitness shifts—keeps probabilities clustered among multiple realistic title threats.

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026.

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$6,937,464
End Date
Sep 13, 2026
Market Opened
Jan 2, 2026, 2:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Women’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 40+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 23%, followed by "Iga Swiatek" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 23¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" has generated $6.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)," browse the 40+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" is "Aryna Sabalenka" at 23%, meaning the market assigns a 23% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Iga Swiatek" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.