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Sports·Games

Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans

icon for Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans
Sports·Games

Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans

Aug 16

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 16

Aug 22

Aug 22

Aug 22

Essendon Bombers

0% chance
Polymarket

$123 Vol.

Essendon Bombers

0% chance
Polymarket

$123 Vol.

This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Sydney's strong midfield depth and recent scoring surge have created a narrow implied probability edge at 50 percent, though Essendon’s pressure game and contested ball work have kept the matchup tight in trader views. The Swans regained ruckman Brodie Grundy and defender Dane Rampe ahead of the MCG clash, bolstering their stoppage dominance and transition, while Errol Gulden’s elite disposal output has anchored their engine room. Essendon, despite a dismal 2026 record and the absence of Sam Durham, showed improved tackling and intensity in patches during recent defeats, with young contributors like Nate Caddy and emerging ruckman Vigo Visentini providing focal points. A fast start or key injury could quickly shift momentum, but both sides’ recent form lines suggest limited separation in overall team output.

This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$123
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 3:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.Sydney's strong midfield depth and recent scoring surge have created a narrow implied probability edge at 50 percent, though Essendon’s pressure game and contested ball work have kept the matchup tight in trader views. The Swans regained ruckman Brodie Grundy and defender Dane Rampe ahead of the MCG clash, bolstering their stoppage dominance and transition, while Errol Gulden’s elite disposal output has anchored their engine room. Essendon, despite a dismal 2026 record and the absence of Sam Durham, showed improved tackling and intensity in patches during recent defeats, with young contributors like Nate Caddy and emerging ruckman Vigo Visentini providing focal points. A fast start or key injury could quickly shift momentum, but both sides’ recent form lines suggest limited separation in overall team output.

This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win.

This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win.

The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$123
End Date
Aug 23, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 3:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.afl.com.au/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market refers to the AFL match between Essendon Bombers and Sydney Swans, scheduled for August 16 at 2:40AM ET. This market will resolve to "Essendon Bombers" if Essendon Bombers is officially credited with the match win. This market will resolve to "Sydney Swans" if Sydney Swans is officially credited with the match win. The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 16, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" is "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Essendon Bombers vs. Sydney Swans" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.