**Hawthorn Hawks hold a clear edge over Port Adelaide Power in this matchup, reflected in their 76% implied probability.** The Hawks sit fourth on the 2026 AFL ladder with a 15-6-2 record, securing a top-four finish and finals double chance after a convincing 62-point win over West Coast in Round 24. Their strong home-and-away campaign features consistent midfield dominance and forward efficiency, with players like Jack Gunston (five goals in his 300th game) and Nick Watson contributing heavily in recent outings. In contrast, Port Adelaide finished 15th at 7-16 amid one of the league’s worst injury tolls. Key absences include captain Connor Rozee (hamstring), Zak Butters (ankle), Aliir Aliir (concussion, season-ending), Jason Horne-Francis (toe/foot), and multiple long-term outs such as Esava Ratugolea and others. The Power have shown flashes of competitiveness but endured a five-game losing streak earlier and relied on depleted lineups, including call-ups and returns from suspension in their final rounds. Situational factors reinforce the gap: Hawthorn’s superior depth, recent form (including wins over quality sides), and finals motivation outweigh Port’s historical occasional success in head-to-heads. The Power’s depleted roster and poor percentage limit their ability to match Hawthorn’s contested ball winning and scoring power, aligning with trader consensus on the sizable favorite status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPort Adelaide Power
48% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
Port Adelaide Power
48% chance
NEW
NEW
Aug 30, 2026
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Hawthorn Hawks, scheduled for August 23 at 3:20AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.**Hawthorn Hawks hold a clear edge over Port Adelaide Power in this matchup, reflected in their 76% implied probability.** The Hawks sit fourth on the 2026 AFL ladder with a 15-6-2 record, securing a top-four finish and finals double chance after a convincing 62-point win over West Coast in Round 24. Their strong home-and-away campaign features consistent midfield dominance and forward efficiency, with players like Jack Gunston (five goals in his 300th game) and Nick Watson contributing heavily in recent outings.
In contrast, Port Adelaide finished 15th at 7-16 amid one of the league’s worst injury tolls. Key absences include captain Connor Rozee (hamstring), Zak Butters (ankle), Aliir Aliir (concussion, season-ending), Jason Horne-Francis (toe/foot), and multiple long-term outs such as Esava Ratugolea and others. The Power have shown flashes of competitiveness but endured a five-game losing streak earlier and relied on depleted lineups, including call-ups and returns from suspension in their final rounds.
Situational factors reinforce the gap: Hawthorn’s superior depth, recent form (including wins over quality sides), and finals motivation outweigh Port’s historical occasional success in head-to-heads. The Power’s depleted roster and poor percentage limit their ability to match Hawthorn’s contested ball winning and scoring power, aligning with trader consensus on the sizable favorite status.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Hawthorn Hawks, scheduled for August 23 at 3:20AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Market Opened: Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ET
Volume
$74End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/aflwResolver
0x65070BE91...This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Hawthorn Hawks, scheduled for August 23 at 3:20AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.**Hawthorn Hawks hold a clear edge over Port Adelaide Power in this matchup, reflected in their 76% implied probability.** The Hawks sit fourth on the 2026 AFL ladder with a 15-6-2 record, securing a top-four finish and finals double chance after a convincing 62-point win over West Coast in Round 24. Their strong home-and-away campaign features consistent midfield dominance and forward efficiency, with players like Jack Gunston (five goals in his 300th game) and Nick Watson contributing heavily in recent outings.
In contrast, Port Adelaide finished 15th at 7-16 amid one of the league’s worst injury tolls. Key absences include captain Connor Rozee (hamstring), Zak Butters (ankle), Aliir Aliir (concussion, season-ending), Jason Horne-Francis (toe/foot), and multiple long-term outs such as Esava Ratugolea and others. The Power have shown flashes of competitiveness but endured a five-game losing streak earlier and relied on depleted lineups, including call-ups and returns from suspension in their final rounds.
Situational factors reinforce the gap: Hawthorn’s superior depth, recent form (including wins over quality sides), and finals motivation outweigh Port’s historical occasional success in head-to-heads. The Power’s depleted roster and poor percentage limit their ability to match Hawthorn’s contested ball winning and scoring power, aligning with trader consensus on the sizable favorite status.
This market refers to the AFL Women match between Port Adelaide Power and Hawthorn Hawks, scheduled for August 23 at 3:20AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market will resolve to "Port Adelaide Power" if Port Adelaide Power is officially credited with the match win.
This market will resolve to "Hawthorn Hawks" if Hawthorn Hawks is officially credited with the match win.
The official final result will be used, including extra time when the competition uses it. If the official result is a draw, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to a team only if that team is officially credited with the win; otherwise it will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin, is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without beginning, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution will be based on official Australian Football League results. If official results have not been published within 24 hours after the match concludes, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Volume
$74End Date
Aug 30, 2026Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.afl.com.au/aflwResolver
0x65070BE91...**Hawthorn Hawks hold a clear edge over Port Adelaide Power in this matchup, reflected in their 76% implied probability.** The Hawks sit fourth on the 2026 AFL ladder with a 15-6-2 record, securing a top-four finish and finals double chance after a convincing 62-point win over West Coast in Round 24. Their strong home-and-away campaign features consistent midfield dominance and forward efficiency, with players like Jack Gunston (five goals in his 300th game) and Nick Watson contributing heavily in recent outings. In contrast, Port Adelaide finished 15th at 7-16 amid one of the league’s worst injury tolls. Key absences include captain Connor Rozee (hamstring), Zak Butters (ankle), Aliir Aliir (concussion, season-ending), Jason Horne-Francis (toe/foot), and multiple long-term outs such as Esava Ratugolea and others. The Power have shown flashes of competitiveness but endured a five-game losing streak earlier and relied on depleted lineups, including call-ups and returns from suspension in their final rounds. Situational factors reinforce the gap: Hawthorn’s superior depth, recent form (including wins over quality sides), and finals motivation outweigh Port’s historical occasional success in head-to-heads. The Power’s depleted roster and poor percentage limit their ability to match Hawthorn’s contested ball winning and scoring power, aligning with trader consensus on the sizable favorite status.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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