Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly between $1.75T and $2.5T because its revenue run rate has surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to more than $65B by July 2026, with Q2 sales reaching $11.5B and the first quarterly operating profit. Investors price the October-targeted debut on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200B, implying multiples that could support a $2T valuation and surpass SpaceX’s record raise. Secondary trading now implies a $1.22T private valuation, while competitive dynamics with OpenAI, Claude’s enterprise adoption, and compute scaling differentiate Anthropic amid broader AI sector multiples and upcoming audited filings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.1%
$380,930 Vol.
$380,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
6%
$1.25–$1.5T
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
5%
$3.0T+
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
2%
$1.75–$2.0T 18%
$2.0–$2.25T 16.8%
$2.25–$2.5T 17%
$1.5–$1.75T 14.1%
$380,930 Vol.
$380,930 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
<$1.25T
$58,667 Vol.
6%
$1.25–$1.5T
$53,841 Vol.
7%
$1.5–$1.75T
$53,603 Vol.
14%
$1.75–$2.0T
$36,913 Vol.
18%
$2.0–$2.25T
$43,985 Vol.
17%
$2.25–$2.5T
$34,373 Vol.
17%
$2.5–$2.75T
$27,305 Vol.
11%
$2.75–$3.0T
$17,857 Vol.
5%
$3.0T+
$28,013 Vol.
9%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
$26,373 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly between $1.75T and $2.5T because its revenue run rate has surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to more than $65B by July 2026, with Q2 sales reaching $11.5B and the first quarterly operating profit. Investors price the October-targeted debut on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200B, implying multiples that could support a $2T valuation and surpass SpaceX’s record raise. Secondary trading now implies a $1.22T private valuation, while competitive dynamics with OpenAI, Claude’s enterprise adoption, and compute scaling differentiate Anthropic amid broader AI sector multiples and upcoming audited filings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$380,930End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly between $1.75T and $2.5T because its revenue run rate has surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to more than $65B by July 2026, with Q2 sales reaching $11.5B and the first quarterly operating profit. Investors price the October-targeted debut on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200B, implying multiples that could support a $2T valuation and surpass SpaceX’s record raise. Secondary trading now implies a $1.22T private valuation, while competitive dynamics with OpenAI, Claude’s enterprise adoption, and compute scaling differentiate Anthropic amid broader AI sector multiples and upcoming audited filings.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$380,930End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jun 1, 2026, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s IPO closing market cap probabilities cluster tightly between $1.75T and $2.5T because its revenue run rate has surged from roughly $9B at the end of 2025 to more than $65B by July 2026, with Q2 sales reaching $11.5B and the first quarterly operating profit. Investors price the October-targeted debut on 2028 revenue forecasts of $190–200B, implying multiples that could support a $2T valuation and surpass SpaceX’s record raise. Secondary trading now implies a $1.22T private valuation, while competitive dynamics with OpenAI, Claude’s enterprise adoption, and compute scaling differentiate Anthropic amid broader AI sector multiples and upcoming audited filings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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