Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its latest flagship in the Opus line, positioned as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding, agentic workflows, and professional benchmarks while remaining behind Mythos-class models on certain high-risk tasks. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and a pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks through mid-2026, with added features like effort controls and dynamic multi-agent workflows in Claude Code. Traders track Anthropic’s internal cadence, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, and any signals around a potential Opus 6 or next-generation successor, though no official timeline or name has been confirmed beyond the July launch. Upcoming catalysts include earnings commentary, developer conferences, or new system cards that could clarify the next release window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,975 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
3%
September 30
47%
October 31
78%
December 31
96%
$11,975 Vol.
August 31
$3,568 Vol.
3%
September 30
$155 Vol.
47%
October 31
$4,947 Vol.
78%
December 31
$3,305 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its latest flagship in the Opus line, positioned as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding, agentic workflows, and professional benchmarks while remaining behind Mythos-class models on certain high-risk tasks. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and a pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks through mid-2026, with added features like effort controls and dynamic multi-agent workflows in Claude Code. Traders track Anthropic’s internal cadence, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, and any signals around a potential Opus 6 or next-generation successor, though no official timeline or name has been confirmed beyond the July launch. Upcoming catalysts include earnings commentary, developer conferences, or new system cards that could clarify the next release window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ET
Volume
$11,975End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its latest flagship in the Opus line, positioned as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding, agentic workflows, and professional benchmarks while remaining behind Mythos-class models on certain high-risk tasks. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and a pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks through mid-2026, with added features like effort controls and dynamic multi-agent workflows in Claude Code. Traders track Anthropic’s internal cadence, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, and any signals around a potential Opus 6 or next-generation successor, though no official timeline or name has been confirmed beyond the July launch. Upcoming catalysts include earnings commentary, developer conferences, or new system cards that could clarify the next release window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Opus refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Opus. Qualifying models include Claude Opus 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Opus 6, or any other Opus variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Haiku, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Opus by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$11,975End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic released Claude Opus 5 on July 24, 2026, as its latest flagship in the Opus line, positioned as a cost-effective step toward Fable 5-level performance on coding, agentic workflows, and professional benchmarks while remaining behind Mythos-class models on certain high-risk tasks. This followed Opus 4.8 in late May and a pattern of point releases every six to ten weeks through mid-2026, with added features like effort controls and dynamic multi-agent workflows in Claude Code. Traders track Anthropic’s internal cadence, competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google frontier models, and any signals around a potential Opus 6 or next-generation successor, though no official timeline or name has been confirmed beyond the July launch. Upcoming catalysts include earnings commentary, developer conferences, or new system cards that could clarify the next release window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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