Anwar Ibrahim’s position as prime minister rests on a broad but ideologically diverse unity government that secured a two-thirds parliamentary majority after the 2022 election. Recent state-level defeats in Johor and Negeri Sembilan have highlighted eroding support among Malay voters and raised questions about coalition durability ahead of the next general election due by early 2028. Internal PKR defections in mid-2026, though not yet affecting MPs due to anti-defection rules, have prompted Anwar to consider an early poll and accelerated reform pledges. His August 2026 medical procedure at age 79 introduced short-term uncertainty, while ongoing efforts to balance coalition partners continue to limit policy momentum. Traders monitor these coalition dynamics, state results, and any signals of snap-election timing as primary drivers of removal probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$11,093 Vol.
September 30, 2026
5%
December 31, 2026
17%
$11,093 Vol.
September 30, 2026
5%
December 31, 2026
17%
An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 2:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Anwar Ibrahim's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Anwar Ibrahim and the government of Malaysia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anwar Ibrahim’s position as prime minister rests on a broad but ideologically diverse unity government that secured a two-thirds parliamentary majority after the 2022 election. Recent state-level defeats in Johor and Negeri Sembilan have highlighted eroding support among Malay voters and raised questions about coalition durability ahead of the next general election due by early 2028. Internal PKR defections in mid-2026, though not yet affecting MPs due to anti-defection rules, have prompted Anwar to consider an early poll and accelerated reform pledges. His August 2026 medical procedure at age 79 introduced short-term uncertainty, while ongoing efforts to balance coalition partners continue to limit policy momentum. Traders monitor these coalition dynamics, state results, and any signals of snap-election timing as primary drivers of removal probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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