Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends constitutionally until mid-2029, with the next general election not due until April of that year. The BJP-led NDA maintains a stable majority in Parliament, reinforced by recent state assembly gains that have expanded its governing footprint. No credible reports indicate plans for early resignation, a successful no-confidence motion, or health-related departure before the end of 2026. Opposition commentary labeling the current period a “final phase” remains partisan positioning without institutional backing. Cabinet adjustments and policy continuity efforts ahead of 2029 further signal ongoing leadership. Traders price the remote chance of an abrupt exit accordingly, reflecting the absence of structural or immediate political triggers for removal within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
7% chance
$246,784 Vol.
$246,784 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends constitutionally until mid-2029, with the next general election not due until April of that year. The BJP-led NDA maintains a stable majority in Parliament, reinforced by recent state assembly gains that have expanded its governing footprint. No credible reports indicate plans for early resignation, a successful no-confidence motion, or health-related departure before the end of 2026. Opposition commentary labeling the current period a “final phase” remains partisan positioning without institutional backing. Cabinet adjustments and policy continuity efforts ahead of 2029 further signal ongoing leadership. Traders price the remote chance of an abrupt exit accordingly, reflecting the absence of structural or immediate political triggers for removal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends constitutionally until mid-2029, with the next general election not due until April of that year. The BJP-led NDA maintains a stable majority in Parliament, reinforced by recent state assembly gains that have expanded its governing footprint. No credible reports indicate plans for early resignation, a successful no-confidence motion, or health-related departure before the end of 2026. Opposition commentary labeling the current period a “final phase” remains partisan positioning without institutional backing. Cabinet adjustments and policy continuity efforts ahead of 2029 further signal ongoing leadership. Traders price the remote chance of an abrupt exit accordingly, reflecting the absence of structural or immediate political triggers for removal within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$246,784End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as Prime Minister, secured in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, extends constitutionally until mid-2029, with the next general election not due until April of that year. The BJP-led NDA maintains a stable majority in Parliament, reinforced by recent state assembly gains that have expanded its governing footprint. No credible reports indicate plans for early resignation, a successful no-confidence motion, or health-related departure before the end of 2026. Opposition commentary labeling the current period a “final phase” remains partisan positioning without institutional backing. Cabinet adjustments and policy continuity efforts ahead of 2029 further signal ongoing leadership. Traders price the remote chance of an abrupt exit accordingly, reflecting the absence of structural or immediate political triggers for removal within the resolution window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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