Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term as Albania’s prime minister after the Socialist Party won 83 of 140 seats in the May 2025 parliamentary election, forming the Rama IV Government in September 2025. The next scheduled parliamentary vote is not until 2029, and Rama has publicly ruled out resignation while advancing EU accession talks and conducting cabinet adjustments, including a February 2026 reshuffle. Sustained opposition protests through mid-2026, including the Flamingo Revolution over coastal development and corruption allegations, have not altered the parliamentary majority or triggered early elections or no-confidence action. Recent polling trends continue to show the Socialist Party holding a stable lead above 50 percent. Traders therefore price an 85.5 percent chance that Rama remains in office through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated15% chance
$134,445 Vol.
$134,445 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
15% chance
$134,445 Vol.
$134,445 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term as Albania’s prime minister after the Socialist Party won 83 of 140 seats in the May 2025 parliamentary election, forming the Rama IV Government in September 2025. The next scheduled parliamentary vote is not until 2029, and Rama has publicly ruled out resignation while advancing EU accession talks and conducting cabinet adjustments, including a February 2026 reshuffle. Sustained opposition protests through mid-2026, including the Flamingo Revolution over coastal development and corruption allegations, have not altered the parliamentary majority or triggered early elections or no-confidence action. Recent polling trends continue to show the Socialist Party holding a stable lead above 50 percent. Traders therefore price an 85.5 percent chance that Rama remains in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
Volume
$134,445End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term as Albania’s prime minister after the Socialist Party won 83 of 140 seats in the May 2025 parliamentary election, forming the Rama IV Government in September 2025. The next scheduled parliamentary vote is not until 2029, and Rama has publicly ruled out resignation while advancing EU accession talks and conducting cabinet adjustments, including a February 2026 reshuffle. Sustained opposition protests through mid-2026, including the Flamingo Revolution over coastal development and corruption allegations, have not altered the parliamentary majority or triggered early elections or no-confidence action. Recent polling trends continue to show the Socialist Party holding a stable lead above 50 percent. Traders therefore price an 85.5 percent chance that Rama remains in office through the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Edi Rama ceases to be the Prime Minister of Albania for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Rama's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Edi Rama and the Albanian government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$134,445End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Mar 5, 2026, 4:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Edi Rama secured a fourth consecutive term as Albania’s prime minister after the Socialist Party won 83 of 140 seats in the May 2025 parliamentary election, forming the Rama IV Government in September 2025. The next scheduled parliamentary vote is not until 2029, and Rama has publicly ruled out resignation while advancing EU accession talks and conducting cabinet adjustments, including a February 2026 reshuffle. Sustained opposition protests through mid-2026, including the Flamingo Revolution over coastal development and corruption allegations, have not altered the parliamentary majority or triggered early elections or no-confidence action. Recent polling trends continue to show the Socialist Party holding a stable lead above 50 percent. Traders therefore price an 85.5 percent chance that Rama remains in office through the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions